Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FUN / forecast

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Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: What is FUN's 12-month stock price target?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.33 (-4.6% from $7.68), with a bull-case target of $27.59 and a bear-case floor of $5.72.

Q: Is FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FUN D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

$7.68 +1.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $785.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69 (+0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FUN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FUN SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($327.5M FCF) & 91.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$11.41-28.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$8.11-16.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$6.77+13.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$7.68-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FUN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FUN currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.84) and Max Pain ($8.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FUN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FUN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FUN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $7.68: 1302.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.72

$7,448

$-2,552 (-25.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.33

$9,544

$-456 (-4.6%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $27.59

$35,924

+$25,924 (+259.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$8	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$26	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$7	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FUN)

✓Walkthrough of FUN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FUN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $7.67H $7.73L $7.31C $7.68VOL 4.16M

SUP: $6.00SMA50: $11.84SMA200: $16.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FUN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FUN Butterfly Map → + Track FUN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FUN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FUN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FUN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FUN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #683 of 1011 ⚔️ ACEL vs FUN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FUN vs. ACEL, FBYD, RSVR, BUUU)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) ranks #683 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #536 by equity capitalization ($785.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with FUN at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FUN ACTIVE Six Flags Entertainment Corporation	D	48/100	—	91.3%	-19.3%	+1.86%	$785.8M	Benchmark Subject
ACEL Accel Entertainment Inc.	C	64/100	17.8x	—	15.7%	+1.89%	$917.5M	/acel-vs-fun →
FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	—	-22.8%	-0.39%	$930.1M	/fbyd-vs-fun →
RSVR Reservoir Media Inc.	C	62/100	80.8x	64.7%	3.8%	+0.31%	$632.3M	/rsvr-vs-fun →
BUUU BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share	D	49/100	—	31.0%	—	-1.02%	$1.10B	/buuu-vs-fun →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001999001

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.10B (+14.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.71B , and +72.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.55B, operating cash flow of $327.5M, and free cash flow of $327.5M (-12.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FUN closed FY2025 with $7.80B in total assets against $5.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.10B	-$1.55B	$327.5M	$327.5M	$7.80B	$5.17B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.71B	-$206.7M	$373.4M	$373.4M	$9.13B	$4.72B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.80B	$124.6M	$325.7M	$325.7M	—	—

3. FUN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (NYSE: FUN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $7.68 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $785.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FUN ranks #683 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FUN compare to ACEL and FBYD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FUN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 91.3%, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $917.5M) and FBYD (Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $930.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUN?

Per FUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001999001), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated $3.10B in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$1.55B in net income, and $327.5M in free cash flow against $7.80B in total assets and $5.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FUN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FUN last traded at $7.68 (+1.86% on volume of 3,848,671 shares), positioning the stock -35.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.84) and -54.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.94). Across its 52-week range of $6.60 to $26.28, FUN sits at the 5.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.72 to $8.64).

FUN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FUN's 12-month stock price target?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.33 (-4.6% from $7.68), with a bull-case target of $27.59 and a bear-case floor of $5.72.

Is FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FUN D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: FUN RQD Cockpit FUN 12M Forecast FUN Earnings & Move FUN Dividends & DRIP FUN Insiders & 13F FUN Whale Options FUN Profit Sankey FUN News & Why