Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.59 +0.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.58

Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $632.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.58 (-0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 28.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (12)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$14 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE RSVR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RSVR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RSVR SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 40% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 21.8% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$9.60-1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$9.44+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$9.57+0.2% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$9.59+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RSVR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, RSVR faces multiple-compression risk if 80.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 81x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.55) or 200D SMA ($9.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.76) toward Bear Floor ($7.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RSVR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RSVR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.05>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE40% OF RANGE
L: $7$9.59H: $13
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on RSVR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

3.8% ROIC with 64.7% gross margin and 7.85% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.05 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (67)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RSVR
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 81x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RSVR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RSVR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.67%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $9.56H $9.59L $9.51C $9.59VOL 27.2K
RES: $9.42SUP: $7.54SMA50: $9.55SMA200: $9.55
$13.76$12.22$10.68$9.14$7.60RES $9.42SUP $7.54$9.592026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RSVR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RSVR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RSVR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RSVR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RSVR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #361 of 1011 ⚔️ LUCK vs RSVR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RSVR vs. LUCK, FUN, ACEL, FBYD)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) ranks #361 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #564 by equity capitalization ($632.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with RSVR at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RSVR ACTIVE
Reservoir Media Inc.
C 62/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% +0.31% $632.3M Benchmark Subject
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)
E 34/100 — — 7.7% -0.25% $552.1M /luck-vs-rsvr →
FUN
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
D 48/100 — 91.3% -19.3% +1.86% $785.8M /fun-vs-rsvr →
ACEL
Accel Entertainment Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x — 15.7% +1.89% $917.5M /acel-vs-rsvr →
FBYD
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — -22.8% -0.39% $930.1M /fbyd-vs-rsvr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001824403

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) reported GAAP revenue of $175.7M (+10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $158.7M , and +21.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.8M, operating cash flow of $50.1M, and free cash flow of $49.7M (+9.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RSVR closed FY2025 with $941.9M in total assets against $452.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.05, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $175.7M $7.8M $50.1M $49.7M $941.9M $452.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $158.7M $7.7M $45.3M $45.2M $832.4M $371.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $144.9M $644.9K $36.2M $36.2M — —

3. RSVR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RSVR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Reservoir Media Inc. (NASDAQ: RSVR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $9.59 (+0.31% 1D, market cap $632.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RSVR ranks #361 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RSVR compare to LUCK and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), RSVR carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 80.8x, gross margin of 64.7%, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, LUCK (Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.7%, cap $552.1M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $785.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RSVR?

Per RSVR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001824403), Reservoir Media Inc. generated $175.7M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), $7.8M in net income, and $49.7M in free cash flow against $941.9M in total assets and $452.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 81x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RSVR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RSVR last traded at $9.59 (+0.31% on volume of 45,692 shares), positioning the stock +0.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.55) and +0.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.55). Across its 52-week range of $7.07 to $13.39, RSVR sits at the 39.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($9.24 to $9.94).

RSVR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RSVR stock right now?

Reservoir Media Inc. (RSVR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 65% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 81x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is RSVR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RSVR's 12-month base price target is $9.76 (range $7.61 to $14.06), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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