Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FUN / earnings

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Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: When is FUN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is FUN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for FUN, spanning a range between $6.72 and $8.64.

$7.68 +1.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $785.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69 (+0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FUN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FUN SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($327.5M FCF) & 91.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$11.41-28.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$8.11-16.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$6.77+13.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$7.68-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FUN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FUN currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.84) and Max Pain ($8.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FUN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FUN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.96 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FUN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.4%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$3.10B	-$1.55B	$327.5M	91.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.71B	-$206.7M	$373.4M	91.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.80B	$124.6M	$325.7M	91.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FUN)

✓Walkthrough of FUN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FUN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $7.67H $7.73L $7.31C $7.68VOL 4.16M

SUP: $6.00SMA50: $11.84SMA200: $16.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FUN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FUN Butterfly Map → + Track FUN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FUN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FUN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FUN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FUN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #683 of 1011 ⚔️ ACEL vs FUN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FUN vs. ACEL, FBYD, RSVR, BUUU)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) ranks #683 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #536 by equity capitalization ($785.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with FUN at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FUN ACTIVE Six Flags Entertainment Corporation	D	48/100	—	91.3%	-19.3%	+1.86%	$785.8M	Benchmark Subject
ACEL Accel Entertainment Inc.	C	64/100	17.8x	—	15.7%	+1.89%	$917.5M	/acel-vs-fun →
FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	—	-22.8%	-0.39%	$930.1M	/fbyd-vs-fun →
RSVR Reservoir Media Inc.	C	62/100	80.8x	64.7%	3.8%	+0.31%	$632.3M	/rsvr-vs-fun →
BUUU BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share	D	49/100	—	31.0%	—	-1.02%	$1.10B	/buuu-vs-fun →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001999001

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.10B (+14.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.71B , and +72.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.55B, operating cash flow of $327.5M, and free cash flow of $327.5M (-12.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FUN closed FY2025 with $7.80B in total assets against $5.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.10B	-$1.55B	$327.5M	$327.5M	$7.80B	$5.17B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.71B	-$206.7M	$373.4M	$373.4M	$9.13B	$4.72B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.80B	$124.6M	$325.7M	$325.7M	—	—

3. FUN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (NYSE: FUN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $7.68 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $785.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FUN ranks #683 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FUN compare to ACEL and FBYD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FUN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 91.3%, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $917.5M) and FBYD (Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $930.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUN?

Per FUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001999001), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated $3.10B in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$1.55B in net income, and $327.5M in free cash flow against $7.80B in total assets and $5.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FUN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FUN last traded at $7.68 (+1.86% on volume of 3,848,671 shares), positioning the stock -35.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.84) and -54.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.94). Across its 52-week range of $6.60 to $26.28, FUN sits at the 5.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.72 to $8.64).

FUN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FUN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FUN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for FUN, spanning a range between $6.72 and $8.64.

Direct Sub-Reports: FUN RQD Cockpit FUN 12M Forecast FUN Earnings & Move FUN Dividends & DRIP FUN Insiders & 13F FUN Whale Options FUN Profit Sankey FUN News & Why