Stock Ratings / Technology / ESP / options

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Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$55.51 +0.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.68

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (29% profit margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $168.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.68 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 37.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ESP SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 37.8% FCF Margin ($16.6M FCF) & 28.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$59.95-7.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$55.58-6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$52.02+6.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$55.51+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (85) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ESP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, ESP faces multiple-compression risk if 20.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.53) or 200D SMA ($60.27) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($60.26) toward Bear Floor ($45.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ESP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ESP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ESP.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ESP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ESP
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ESP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.70%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $54.06H $55.51L $52.91C $55.51VOL 23.3K

RES: $67.12SUP: $49.56SMA50: $60.53SMA200: $60.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ESP Butterfly Map → + Track ESP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESP)

Technology Rank #29 of 714 ⚔️ SHMD vs ESP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ESP vs. SHMD, VELO, ASYS, MPTI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #493 by equity capitalization ($168.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ESP ACTIVE Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.	B+	77/100	20.7x	28.9%	18.1%	+0.34%	$168.7M	Benchmark Subject
SHMD SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-4.19%	$186.5M	/shmd-vs-esp →
VELO Velo3D Inc.	D-	42/100	—	-16.1%	-35.0%	+1.14%	$227.3M	/velo-vs-esp →
ASYS Amtech Systems Inc.	D	45/100	—	34.0%	-35.0%	-0.07%	$239.5M	/asys-vs-esp →
MPTI M-tron Industries Inc.	C+	66/100	35.5x	—	19.2%	-0.56%	$300.0M	/mpti-vs-esp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000033533

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) reported GAAP revenue of $44.0M (+13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.7M , and +23.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.1M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $16.6M (+206.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESP closed FY2025 with $85.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.23, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$44.0M	$8.1M	$21.0M	$16.6M	$85.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$38.7M	$5.8M	$10.6M	$5.4M	$60.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$35.6M	$3.7M	$3.9M	$3.9M	—	—

3. ESP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (NYSE: ESP) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $55.51 (+0.34% 1D, market cap $168.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ESP ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESP compare to SHMD and VELO in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ESP carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.7x, gross margin of 28.9%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, SHMD (SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $186.5M) and VELO (Velo3D Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESP?

Per ESP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000033533), Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. generated $44.0M in revenue (+13.5% YoY), $8.1M in net income, and $16.6M in free cash flow against $85.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESP last traded at $55.51 (+0.34% on volume of 20,032 shares), positioning the stock -8.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($60.53) and -7.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($60.27). Across its 52-week range of $36.82 to $74.77, ESP sits at the 49.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($51.29 to $59.73).

ESP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ESP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ESP.

Direct Sub-Reports: ESP RQD Cockpit ESP 12M Forecast ESP Earnings & Move ESP Dividends & DRIP ESP Insiders & 13F ESP Whale Options ESP Profit Sankey ESP News & Why