Stock Ratings / Technology / ESP / dividends

SHMD (46) VELO (26) ASYS (41) MPTI (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$55.51 +0.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.44

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $168.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ESP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ESP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (NYSE: ESP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $55.51 (+0.34% 1D, market cap $168.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ESP ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ESP compare to SHMD and VELO in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ESP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.7x, gross margin of 28.9%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, SHMD (SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $186.5M) and VELO (Velo3D Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESP?

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Per ESP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000033533), Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. generated $44.0M in revenue (+13.5% YoY), $8.1M in net income, and $16.6M in free cash flow against $85.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.44 (-0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 37.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ESP SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 37.8% FCF Margin ($16.6M FCF) & 28.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$58.68-9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$53.41-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$53.04+4.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$55.51+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ESP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ESP faces multiple-compression risk if 20.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.34) or 200D SMA ($60.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.76) toward Bear Floor ($45.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ESP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

3.34% Total Yield

1.54% Cash ($0.85/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

14% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $27,887

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $931/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.1K

Yr 1

$12.3K

Yr 2

$13.6K

Yr 3

$15.1K

Yr 4

$16.7K

Yr 5

$18.5K

Yr 6

$20.5K

Yr 7

$22.7K

Yr 8

$25.2K

Yr 9

$27.9K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ESP & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ESP and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ESP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.29%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $55.32H $55.51L $55.32C $55.51VOL 20.0K

RES: $67.13SUP: $49.48SMA50: $60.34SMA200: $60.28

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ESP Butterfly Map → + Track ESP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESP)

Technology Rank #141 of 714 ⚔️ SHMD vs ESP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ESP vs. SHMD, VELO, ASYS, MPTI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) ranks #141 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #493 by equity capitalization ($168.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ESP ACTIVE Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.	C+	67/100	20.7x	28.9%	18.1%	+0.34%	$168.7M	Benchmark Subject
SHMD SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)	D	46/100	—	—	—	-4.19%	$186.5M	/shmd-vs-esp →
VELO Velo3D Inc.	E	26/100	—	-16.1%	-35.0%	+1.14%	$227.3M	/velo-vs-esp →
ASYS Amtech Systems Inc.	D-	41/100	—	34.0%	-35.0%	-0.07%	$239.5M	/asys-vs-esp →
MPTI M-tron Industries Inc.	D+	56/100	35.5x	—	19.2%	-0.56%	$300.0M	/mpti-vs-esp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000033533

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) reported GAAP revenue of $44.0M (+13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.7M , and +23.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.1M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $16.6M (+206.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESP closed FY2025 with $85.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.23, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$44.0M	$8.1M	$21.0M	$16.6M	$85.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$38.7M	$5.8M	$10.6M	$5.4M	$60.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$35.6M	$3.7M	$3.9M	$3.9M	—	—

3. ESP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ESP compare to SHMD and VELO in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESP?

Where is ESP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESP last traded at $55.51 (+0.34% on volume of 20,032 shares), positioning the stock -8.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($60.34) and -7.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($60.28). Across its 52-week range of $36.82 to $74.77, ESP sits at the 49.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($51.46 to $59.56).

ESP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ESP pay a dividend and is it safe?

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) offers a 1.54% cash dividend yield ($0.85 annualized) and 3.34% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: ESP RQD Cockpit ESP 12M Forecast ESP Earnings & Move ESP Dividends & DRIP ESP Insiders & 13F ESP Whale Options ESP Profit Sankey ESP News & Why