Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. (EPM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. (NYSE: EPM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $3.82 (-1.80% 1D, market cap $155.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EPM ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EPM carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 105.4x, gross margin of 42.5%, and ROIC of 5.2%. By comparison, SJT (San Juan Basin Royalty Trust) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $158.5M) and ANNA (AleAnna Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $163.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPM leads on earnings multiple (105.4x) while ANNA leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).
Per EPM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001006655), Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. generated $85.8M in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $1.5M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $169.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 38.5% FCF Margin ($33.1M FCF) & 42.5% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
While EPM currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.68) and Max Pain ($4.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.24.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. (EPM) slipped -1.80% to $3.82, trading at 35% of its 52-week range ($3.19 – $4.99). Stretched risk/reward at 105x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG) is scheduled to report its earnings on Monday, November 2, 2026. The company has a market value of about $58.0 billion. Over the last twelve months it generated $17.0 billion in revenue a
HOUSTON, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Evolution Petroleum Corporation (NYSE American: EPM) ("Evolution" or the "Company") today announced that it plans to release its fiscal first quarter 2027 financial and operatin
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EPM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EPM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. (EPM) ranks #135 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #180 by equity capitalization ($155.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EPM leads on earnings valuation at 105.4x trailing P/E, while ANNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and — gross margin. GLND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with EPM at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPM
ACTIVE
Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. | D | 51/100 | 105.4x | 42.5% | 5.2% | -1.80% | $155.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| SJT San Juan Basin Royalty Trust | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +0.59% | $158.5M | /sjt-vs-epm → |
| ANNA AleAnna Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | 8.5% | -0.81% | $163.3M | /anna-vs-epm → |
| GLND Greenland Energy Company | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +2.16% | $144.7M | /glnd-vs-epm → |
| MINE Mayfair Gold Corp. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +1.70% | $166.8M | /mine-vs-epm → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. (EPM) reported GAAP revenue of $85.8M (-0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $85.9M , and -33.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.5M, operating cash flow of $33.1M, and free cash flow of $33.1M (+45.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, EPM closed FY2025 with $169.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.64, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $85.8M | $1.5M | $33.1M | $33.1M | $169.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $85.9M | $4.1M | $22.7M | $22.7M | $160.2M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $128.5M | $35.2M | $51.3M | $51.3M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. (NYSE: EPM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $3.82 (-1.80% 1D, market cap $155.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EPM ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EPM carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 105.4x, gross margin of 42.5%, and ROIC of 5.2%. By comparison, SJT (San Juan Basin Royalty Trust) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $158.5M) and ANNA (AleAnna Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $163.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPM leads on earnings multiple (105.4x) while ANNA leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).
Per EPM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001006655), Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. generated $85.8M in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $1.5M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $169.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
EPM last traded at $3.82 (-1.80% on volume of 405,002 shares), positioning the stock +3.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.68) and -5.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.06). Across its 52-week range of $3.19 to $4.99, EPM sits at the 35.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($3.59 to $4.05).
Why EPM Stock slipped -1.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 105x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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