MINE (52) EPSN (62) ANNA (59) SJT (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.33 -1.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.31

Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $179.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.31 (-0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 18.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMPY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMPY SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$4.46-0.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$4.43+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$4.59-5.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C$4.33+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMPY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, AMPY faces multiple-compression risk if 4.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 90.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.56) or 200D SMA ($4.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.45) toward Bear Floor ($3.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMPY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMPY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

42.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.79>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE22% OF RANGE

L: $4$4.33H: $7

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (93% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AMPY

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

15.3% ROIC with 93.2% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.79 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (68)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 18/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AMPY

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AMPY Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMPY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.34%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $4.38H $4.38L $4.23C $4.33VOL 661.9K

RES: $4.50SUP: $4.34SMA50: $4.56SMA200: $4.93

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMPY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMPY Butterfly Map → + Track AMPY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMPY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMPY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMPY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMPY)

Energy Rank #75 of 211 ⚔️ MINE vs AMPY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (AMPY vs. MINE, EPSN, ANNA, SJT)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) ranks #75 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #176 by equity capitalization ($179.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPY leads on earnings valuation at 4.1x trailing P/E, while AMPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. AMPY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMPY ACTIVE Amplify Energy Corp.	C	64/100	4.1x	93.2%	15.3%	-1.37%	$179.5M	Benchmark Subject
MINE Mayfair Gold Corp.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+1.70%	$166.8M	/mine-vs-ampy →
EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share	C	62/100	—	—	-7.2%	+0.47%	$194.4M	/epsn-vs-ampy →
ANNA AleAnna Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	8.5%	-0.81%	$163.3M	/anna-vs-ampy →
SJT San Juan Basin Royalty Trust	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+0.59%	$158.5M	/sjt-vs-ampy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001533924

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) reported GAAP revenue of $263.4M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $294.7M , and -14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $44.0M, operating cash flow of $49.2M, and free cash flow of $49.2M (-4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMPY closed FY2025 with $600.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$263.4M	$44.0M	$49.2M	$49.2M	$600.9M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$294.7M	$12.9M	$51.3M	$51.3M	$747.1M	$127.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$307.6M	$392.8M	$141.6M	$141.6M	—	—

3. AMPY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Amplify Energy Corp. (NYSE: AMPY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $4.33 (-1.37% 1D, market cap $179.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AMPY ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMPY compare to MINE and EPSN in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), AMPY carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.1x, gross margin of 93.2%, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, MINE (Mayfair Gold Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $166.8M) and EPSN (Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $194.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPY?

Per AMPY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533924), Amplify Energy Corp. generated $263.4M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), $44.0M in net income, and $49.2M in free cash flow against $600.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMPY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMPY last traded at $4.33 (-1.37% on volume of 423,288 shares), positioning the stock -5.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.56) and -12.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.93). Across its 52-week range of $3.65 to $6.79, AMPY sits at the 21.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($4.00 to $4.66).

AMPY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AMPY stock right now?

Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 93% profit margin (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is AMPY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AMPY's 12-month base price target is $4.45 (range $3.47 to $7.13), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMPY RQD Cockpit AMPY 12M Forecast AMPY Earnings & Move AMPY Dividends & DRIP AMPY Insiders & 13F AMPY Whale Options AMPY Profit Sankey AMPY News & Why