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Why AMPY Stock slipped -1.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.33 -1.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.31
Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $179.5M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AMPY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AMPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Amplify Energy Corp. (NYSE: AMPY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $4.33 (-1.37% 1D, market cap $179.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AMPY ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AMPY compare to MINE and EPSN in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), AMPY carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.1x, gross margin of 93.2%, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, MINE (Mayfair Gold Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $166.8M) and EPSN (Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $194.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPY?
▼
Per AMPY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533924), Amplify Energy Corp. generated $263.4M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), $44.0M in net income, and $49.2M in free cash flow against $600.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.31 (-0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 18.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMPY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AMPY SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$4.46-0.7% Next Q
72
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$4.43+3.6% Next Q
69
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$4.59-5.7% Next Q
67
CurrentGrade C$4.33+1.1% Hist 90D α
64
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMPY Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, AMPY faces multiple-compression risk if 4.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 90.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.56) or 200D SMA ($4.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.45) toward Bear Floor ($3.47).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMPY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AMPY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AMPY Stock slipped -1.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) slipped -1.37% to $4.33, trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($3.65 – $6.79). Solid 93% profit margin (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($3.65 – $6.79) with RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $4.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 93.2% gross margin and $49.2M annual free cash flow.
Live AMPY Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AMPY Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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AMPY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.34%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $4.38H $4.38L $4.23C $4.33VOL 661.9K
RES: $4.50SUP: $4.34SMA50: $4.56SMA200: $4.93
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AMPY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMPY today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMPY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMPY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMPY)
Energy Rank #75 of 211
⚔️ MINE vs AMPY Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (AMPY vs. MINE, EPSN, ANNA, SJT)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) ranks #75 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #176 by equity capitalization ($179.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPY leads on earnings valuation at 4.1x trailing P/E, while AMPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. AMPY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPY
ACTIVE
Amplify Energy Corp. | C | 64/100 | 4.1x | 93.2% | 15.3% | -1.37% | $179.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| MINE Mayfair Gold Corp. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +1.70% | $166.8M | /mine-vs-ampy → |
| EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share | C | 62/100 | — | — | -7.2% | +0.47% | $194.4M | /epsn-vs-ampy → |
| ANNA AleAnna Inc. (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | — | — | 8.5% | -0.81% | $163.3M | /anna-vs-ampy → |
| SJT San Juan Basin Royalty Trust | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +0.59% | $158.5M | /sjt-vs-ampy → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001533924In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) reported GAAP revenue of $263.4M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $294.7M , and -14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $44.0M, operating cash flow of $49.2M, and free cash flow of $49.2M (-4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMPY closed FY2025 with $600.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $263.4M | $44.0M | $49.2M | $49.2M | $600.9M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $294.7M | $12.9M | $51.3M | $51.3M | $747.1M | $127.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $307.6M | $392.8M | $141.6M | $141.6M | — | — |
3. AMPY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AMPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Amplify Energy Corp. (NYSE: AMPY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $4.33 (-1.37% 1D, market cap $179.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AMPY ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AMPY compare to MINE and EPSN in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), AMPY carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.1x, gross margin of 93.2%, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, MINE (Mayfair Gold Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $166.8M) and EPSN (Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $194.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPY?
Per AMPY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533924), Amplify Energy Corp. generated $263.4M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), $44.0M in net income, and $49.2M in free cash flow against $600.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AMPY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AMPY last traded at $4.33 (-1.37% on volume of 423,288 shares), positioning the stock -5.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.56) and -12.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.93). Across its 52-week range of $3.65 to $6.79, AMPY sits at the 21.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($4.00 to $4.66).
AMPY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AMPY stock moving today?
Why AMPY Stock slipped -1.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 93% profit margin (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.