VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 59.2% FCF Margin ($212.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.8% realized swing band)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While EGY currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.05) and Max Pain ($6.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.06.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY) slipped -1.40% to $6.34, trading at 89% of its 52-week range ($3.37 – $6.72). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
HOUSTON, Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- VAALCO Energy, Inc. (NYSE: EGY; LSE: EGY) (“Vaalco” or the “Company”) today announced the timing of its third quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call. The Company will
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EGY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EGY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY) ranks #194 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #148 by equity capitalization ($666.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while GRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and — gross margin. GRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with EGY at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGY
ACTIVE
VAALCO Energy Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -4.2% | -1.40% | $666.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -1.64% | $702.2M | /gprk-vs-egy → |
| WTI W&T Offshore Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.50% | $608.3M | /wti-vs-egy → |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 31.3x | — | 3.8% | -0.34% | $763.7M | /grnt-vs-egy → |
| VTS Vitesse Energy Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 30.5x | — | 2.2% | +0.11% | $770.5M | /vts-vs-egy → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY) reported GAAP revenue of $359.3M (-25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $479.0M , and -21.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$41.4M, operating cash flow of $212.7M, and free cash flow of $212.7M (+87.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, EGY closed FY2025 with $913.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.31, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $359.3M | -$41.4M | $212.7M | $212.7M | $913.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $479.0M | $58.5M | $113.7M | $113.7M | $955.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $455.1M | $60.4M | $223.6M | $223.6M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, VAALCO Energy Inc. (NYSE: EGY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $6.34 (-1.40% 1D, market cap $666.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EGY ranks #194 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EGY carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.2%. By comparison, GPRK (Geopark Ltd) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $702.2M) and WTI (W&T Offshore Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $608.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while GRNT leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).
Per EGY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000894627), VAALCO Energy Inc. generated $359.3M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), -$41.4M in net income, and $212.7M in free cash flow against $913.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
EGY last traded at $6.34 (-1.40% on volume of 1,443,884 shares), positioning the stock +4.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.05) and +12.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.65). Across its 52-week range of $3.37 to $6.72, EGY sits at the 88.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($5.91 to $6.77).
Why EGY Stock slipped -1.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.