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VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.8% Move

$6.34 -1.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.31

VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $666.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.31 (-0.44%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 59.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EGY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EGY SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 59.2% FCF Margin ($212.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$6.01+3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$6.20+5.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$6.56-3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$6.34-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EGY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EGY currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.05) and Max Pain ($6.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.06.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EGY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EGY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.8% Swing Band

±$0.43 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

EGY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 35/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -25%

Model Bullish Setup (35/100)Model Risk Weight (65/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$359.3M	-$41.4M	$212.7M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$479.0M	$58.5M	$113.7M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$455.1M	$60.4M	$223.6M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EGY)

✓Walkthrough of EGY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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EGY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.50%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $6.35H $6.45L $6.33C $6.34VOL 1.25M

RES: $6.59SUP: $5.90SMA50: $6.05SMA200: $5.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EGY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EGY Butterfly Map → + Track EGY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EGY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EGY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EGY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EGY)

Energy Rank #194 of 211 ⚔️ GPRK vs EGY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EGY vs. GPRK, WTI, GRNT, VTS)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY) ranks #194 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #148 by equity capitalization ($666.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while GRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and — gross margin. GRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with EGY at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EGY ACTIVE VAALCO Energy Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-4.2%	-1.40%	$666.9M	Benchmark Subject
GPRK Geopark Ltd	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.64%	$702.2M	/gprk-vs-egy →
WTI W&T Offshore Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.50%	$608.3M	/wti-vs-egy →
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources Inc.	D+	57/100	31.3x	—	3.8%	-0.34%	$763.7M	/grnt-vs-egy →
VTS Vitesse Energy Inc.	D+	57/100	30.5x	—	2.2%	+0.11%	$770.5M	/vts-vs-egy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000894627

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY) reported GAAP revenue of $359.3M (-25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $479.0M , and -21.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$41.4M, operating cash flow of $212.7M, and free cash flow of $212.7M (+87.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, EGY closed FY2025 with $913.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.31, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$359.3M	-$41.4M	$212.7M	$212.7M	$913.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$479.0M	$58.5M	$113.7M	$113.7M	$955.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$455.1M	$60.4M	$223.6M	$223.6M	—	—

3. EGY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EGY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, VAALCO Energy Inc. (NYSE: EGY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $6.34 (-1.40% 1D, market cap $666.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EGY ranks #194 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EGY compare to GPRK and WTI in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EGY carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.2%. By comparison, GPRK (Geopark Ltd) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $702.2M) and WTI (W&T Offshore Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $608.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while GRNT leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EGY?

Per EGY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000894627), VAALCO Energy Inc. generated $359.3M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), -$41.4M in net income, and $212.7M in free cash flow against $913.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EGY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EGY last traded at $6.34 (-1.40% on volume of 1,443,884 shares), positioning the stock +4.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.05) and +12.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.65). Across its 52-week range of $3.37 to $6.72, EGY sits at the 88.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($5.91 to $6.77).

EGY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is EGY's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, VAALCO Energy Inc. (EGY)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is EGY stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.8% event move for EGY, spanning a range between $5.91 and $6.77.

Direct Sub-Reports: EGY RQD Cockpit EGY 12M Forecast EGY Earnings & Move EGY Dividends & DRIP EGY Insiders & 13F EGY Whale Options EGY Profit Sankey EGY News & Why