MARKET WIREFintel • 4d ago
Ecovyst Inc. Amends and Restates Severance Plan on October 22, 2026Why ECVT Stock advanced +0.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$10.24 +0.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.23
Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.12B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ECVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE: ECVT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $10.24 (+0.49% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ECVT ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ECVT compare to REX and GPRE in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ECVT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, REX (REX American Resources Corporation) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 15.5x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.29B) and GPRE (Green Plains Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $954.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REX leads on earnings multiple (15.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECVT?
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Per ECVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001708035), Ecovyst Inc. generated $723.5M in revenue (+20.9% YoY), -$71.1M in net income, and $69.9M in free cash flow against $1.26B in total assets and $392.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.23 (-0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ECVT SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($69.9M FCF) & 21.8% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$9.92+2.1% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$10.13-3% Next Q
43
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$9.83+4.2% Next Q
45
CurrentGrade D$10.24-5.6% Hist 90D α
48
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ECVT Turnaround Squeeze
While ECVT currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.16) and Max Pain ($10.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.84.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ECVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ECVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ECVT Stock advanced +0.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) advanced +0.49% to $10.24, trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($7.41 – $15.09). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($7.41 – $15.09) with RSI-14 at 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5% around $10.24 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 21.8% gross margin and $69.9M annual free cash flow.
Live ECVT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Is Ecovyst (ECVT) Cheap Following Its November Results Call Date?Ecovyst (ECVT) has scheduled a conference call and webcast for November 5, 2026, to review its third quarter results, highlighting how the business is currently positioned. Recent trading has been softer for Ecovyst, wit
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Ecovyst to Host Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ETEcovyst Inc. (NYSE: ECVT), a leading provider of sulfuric acid regeneration, virgin sulfuric acid and sulfur dioxide and related derivatives, announced today that it will conduct a conference call and audio-only webcast
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ECVT)
- ✓Walkthrough of ECVT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ECVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.48%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $10.19H $10.24L $10.19C $10.24VOL 1.32M
RES: $10.55SUP: $9.34SMA50: $10.16SMA200: $11.81
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ECVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECVT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECVT)
Materials Rank #116 of 270
⚔️ REX vs ECVT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ECVT vs. REX, GPRE, FTK, KRO)
Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) ranks #116 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #132 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REX leads on earnings valuation at 15.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. FTK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ECVT at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECVT
ACTIVE
Ecovyst Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | 21.8% | 6.4% | +0.49% | $1.12B | Benchmark Subject |
| REX REX American Resources Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | 15.5x | 19.3% | 13.6% | +0.26% | $1.29B | /rex-vs-ecvt → |
| GPRE Green Plains Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 72.5% | -5.6% | -0.73% | $954.7M | /gpre-vs-ecvt → |
| FTK Flotek Industries Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 30.5x | 25.2% | 17.1% | -1.53% | $930.1M | /ftk-vs-ecvt → |
| KRO Kronos Worldwide Inc | D- | 36/100 | — | 11.5% | -2.3% | -3.25% | $857.5M | /kro-vs-ecvt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001708035In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) reported GAAP revenue of $723.5M (+20.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $598.3M , and +23.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$71.1M, operating cash flow of $140.3M, and free cash flow of $69.9M (-25.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECVT closed FY2025 with $1.26B in total assets against $392.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.68, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $723.5M | -$71.1M | $140.3M | $69.9M | $1.26B | $392.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $598.3M | -$6.7M | $149.9M | $94.3M | $1.80B | $852.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $584.8M | $71.2M | $137.6M | $137.6M | — | — |
3. ECVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ECVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE: ECVT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $10.24 (+0.49% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ECVT ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ECVT compare to REX and GPRE in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ECVT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, REX (REX American Resources Corporation) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 15.5x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.29B) and GPRE (Green Plains Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $954.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REX leads on earnings multiple (15.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECVT?
Per ECVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001708035), Ecovyst Inc. generated $723.5M in revenue (+20.9% YoY), -$71.1M in net income, and $69.9M in free cash flow against $1.26B in total assets and $392.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ECVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ECVT last traded at $10.24 (+0.49% on volume of 1,315,835 shares), positioning the stock +0.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.16) and -13.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.81). Across its 52-week range of $7.41 to $15.09, ECVT sits at the 36.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($9.73 to $10.75).
ECVT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ECVT stock moving today?
Why ECVT Stock advanced +0.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.