Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$10.24 +0.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.23

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.23 (-0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (13)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$16 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE ECVT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ECVT SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 37% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$10.05+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$10.28-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$9.79+4.6% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$10.24+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ECVT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, ECVT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 19.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.16) or 200D SMA ($11.82) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.38) toward Bear Floor ($8.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ECVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ECVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $34,858

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $627/yr
$11.3K
Yr 1
$12.8K
Yr 2
$14.5K
Yr 3
$16.5K
Yr 4
$18.7K
Yr 5
$21.2K
Yr 6
$24.0K
Yr 7
$27.2K
Yr 8
$30.8K
Yr 9
$34.9K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ECVT & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ECVT and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ECVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.79%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $10.20H $10.34L $10.01C $10.24VOL 1.34M
RES: $10.58SUP: $9.35SMA50: $10.16SMA200: $11.82
$15.48$13.87$12.27$10.67$9.06RES $10.58SUP $9.35$10.242026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ECVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECVT)

Materials Rank #50 of 270 ⚔️ REX vs ECVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ECVT vs. REX, GPRE, FTK, KRO)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) ranks #50 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #132 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REX leads on earnings valuation at 15.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. REX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ECVT at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ECVT ACTIVE
Ecovyst Inc.
C- 61/100 — 21.8% 6.4% +0.49% $1.12B Benchmark Subject
REX
REX American Resources Corporation
B- 70/100 15.5x 19.3% 13.6% +0.26% $1.29B /rex-vs-ecvt →
GPRE
Green Plains Inc.
D 48/100 — 72.5% -5.6% -0.73% $954.7M /gpre-vs-ecvt →
FTK
Flotek Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 30.5x 25.2% 17.1% -1.53% $930.1M /ftk-vs-ecvt →
KRO
Kronos Worldwide Inc
E 34/100 — 11.5% -2.3% -3.25% $857.5M /kro-vs-ecvt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001708035

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) reported GAAP revenue of $723.5M (+20.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $598.3M , and +23.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$71.1M, operating cash flow of $140.3M, and free cash flow of $69.9M (-25.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECVT closed FY2025 with $1.26B in total assets against $392.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.68, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $723.5M -$71.1M $140.3M $69.9M $1.26B $392.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $598.3M -$6.7M $149.9M $94.3M $1.80B $852.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $584.8M $71.2M $137.6M $137.6M — —

3. ECVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ECVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE: ECVT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $10.24 (+0.49% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ECVT ranks #50 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ECVT compare to REX and GPRE in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ECVT carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, REX (REX American Resources Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 15.5x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.29B) and GPRE (Green Plains Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $954.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REX leads on earnings multiple (15.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECVT?

Per ECVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001708035), Ecovyst Inc. generated $723.5M in revenue (+20.9% YoY), -$71.1M in net income, and $69.9M in free cash flow against $1.26B in total assets and $392.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ECVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ECVT last traded at $10.24 (+0.49% on volume of 1,315,835 shares), positioning the stock +0.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.16) and -13.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.82). Across its 52-week range of $7.41 to $15.09, ECVT sits at the 36.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($9.70 to $10.78).

ECVT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ECVT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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