Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$102.36 +0.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 60% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.17B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B+
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (18)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$129 Bull$109 Base$84 Bear
📬 FREE ECPG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECPG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
49.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE94% OF RANGE
L: $41$102.36H: $106
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ECPG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

60.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.85% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (78)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 18/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ECPG
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ECPG Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ECPG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.67%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $101.9H $102.4L $98.54C $102.4VOL 246.2K
RES: $106.3SUP: $96.88SMA50: $99.21SMA200: $83.18
$109.6$94.46$79.27$64.08$48.89RES $106.3SUP $96.88$102.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ECPG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-4.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECPG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECPG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECPG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECPG)

Financials Rank #75 of 1096 ⚔️ AGM vs ECPG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ECPG vs. AGM, TY, BDJ, QQQX)

Industry: Finance Companies (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) ranks #75 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #417 by equity capitalization ($2.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ECPG leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while ECPG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 60.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ECPG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ECPG ACTIVE
Encore Capital Group Inc
B 73/100 8.4x — 60.4% +0.73% $2.17B Benchmark Subject
AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
D+ 56/100 10.7x — 12.1% -0.09% $2.21B /agm-vs-ecpg →
TY
Tri Continental Corporation
D 51/100 — — — -0.06% $1.88B /ty-vs-ecpg →
BDJ
Blackrock Enhanced Equity Dividend Trust
D+ 54/100 — — — +1.25% $1.72B /bdj-vs-ecpg →
QQQX
Nuveen NASDAQ 100 Dynamic Overwrite Fund
D+ 57/100 — — — -0.39% $1.51B /qqqx-vs-ecpg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001084961

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) reported GAAP revenue of $88.4M (+4.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $84.8M , and +6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $257.0M, operating cash flow of $153.2M, and free cash flow of $126.9M (-0.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECPG closed FY2025 with $5.34B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $88.4M $257.0M $153.2M $126.9M $5.34B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $84.8M -$139.0M $156.2M $127.2M $4.79B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $83.1M -$206.0M $153.0M $153.0M — —

3. ECPG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ECPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Encore Capital Group Inc (NASDAQ: ECPG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $102.36 (+0.73% 1D, market cap $2.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ECPG ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ECPG compare to AGM and TY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance Companies), ECPG carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 60.4%. By comparison, AGM (Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 12.1%, cap $2.21B) and TY (Tri Continental Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ECPG leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while ECPG leads on capital efficiency (60.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECPG?

Per ECPG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001084961), Encore Capital Group Inc generated $88.4M in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $257.0M in net income, and $126.9M in free cash flow against $5.34B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ECPG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ECPG last traded at $102.36 (+0.73% on volume of 203,189 shares), positioning the stock +3.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($99.21) and +23.06% above its 200-day simple moving average ($83.18). Across its 52-week range of $41.06 to $105.98, ECPG sits at the 94.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($95.19 to $109.53).

ECPG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ECPG stock right now?

Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 60% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is ECPG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ECPG's 12-month base price target is $109.27 (range $83.94 to $128.94), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%