Stock Ratings / Financials / ECBK / options

RBKB (64) HYNE (56) SRBK (55) FBLA (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ECB Bancorp Inc. (ECBK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$21.33 +1.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.34

ECB Bancorp Inc. (ECBK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $186.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ECBK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ECBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, ECB Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: ECBK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $21.33 (+1.23% 1D, market cap $186.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ECBK ranks #230 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ECBK compare to RBKB and HYNE in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Banks), ECBK carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.5%. By comparison, RBKB (Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 7.3%, cap $200.9M) and HYNE (Hoyne Bancorp Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $153.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RBKB leads on earnings multiple (20.0x) while RBKB leads on capital efficiency (7.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECBK?

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Per ECBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001914605), ECB Bancorp Inc. generated $598.0K in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $7.8M in net income, and $9.0M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.34 (+0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 900.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ECBK SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 93% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$20.81-5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$19.58+8.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$21.17+0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$21.33+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ECBK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ECBK faces multiple-compression risk if 24.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.76) or 200D SMA ($19.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.19) toward Bear Floor ($17.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ECBK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ECBK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ECBK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ECBK.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ECBK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ECBK
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ECBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $21.07H $21.33L $21.07C $21.33VOL 4.5K

RES: $21.74SUP: $19.28SMA50: $20.76SMA200: $19.10

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ECBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ECBK Butterfly Map → + Track ECBK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECBK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECBK)

Financials Rank #230 of 1096 ⚔️ RBKB vs ECBK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ECBK vs. RBKB, HYNE, SRBK, FBLA)

Industry: Banks (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ECB Bancorp Inc. (ECBK) ranks #230 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #897 by equity capitalization ($186.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RBKB leads on earnings valuation at 20.0x trailing P/E, while RBKB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.3% ROIC and — gross margin. ECBK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ECBK ACTIVE ECB Bancorp Inc.	C+	67/100	24.0x	—	4.5%	+1.23%	$186.4M	Benchmark Subject
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc.	C	64/100	20.0x	—	7.3%	+0.16%	$200.9M	/rbkb-vs-ecbk →
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	0.1%	+1.44%	$153.7M	/hyne-vs-ecbk →
SRBK SR Bancorp Inc.	D+	55/100	29.3x	—	2.7%	+0.64%	$150.5M	/srbk-vs-ecbk →
FBLA FB Bancorp Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	0.4%	-1.56%	$271.0M	/fbla-vs-ecbk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001914605

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ECB Bancorp Inc. (ECBK) reported GAAP revenue of $598.0K (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $577.0K ) , GAAP net income of $7.8M, operating cash flow of $9.2M, and free cash flow of $9.0M (+46.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECBK closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$598.0K	$7.8M	$9.2M	$9.0M	$1.61B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$577.0K	$4.0M	$6.2M	$6.2M	$1.42B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$4.5M	$6.4M	$6.4M	—	—

3. ECBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ECBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ECBK compare to RBKB and HYNE in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECBK?

Where is ECBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ECBK last traded at $21.33 (+1.23% on volume of 4,498 shares), positioning the stock +2.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.76) and +11.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.10). Across its 52-week range of $15.60 to $21.78, ECBK sits at the 92.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($20.11 to $22.55).

ECBK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ECBK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ECBK.

Direct Sub-Reports: ECBK RQD Cockpit ECBK 12M Forecast ECBK Earnings & Move ECBK Dividends & DRIP ECBK Insiders & 13F ECBK Whale Options ECBK Profit Sankey ECBK News & Why