Bogota Financial Corp. (BSBK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.23 -0.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.21

Bogota Financial Corp. (BSBK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $117.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.21 (-0.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$11 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE BSBK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BSBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BSBK SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.1% FCF Margin ($3.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$9.08+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$9.13-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$9.10+1.4% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$9.23-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BSBK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BSBK currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.13) and Max Pain ($9.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BSBK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BSBK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
50.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE78% OF RANGE
L: $8$9.23H: $10
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BSBK

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

1.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.66% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BSBK
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BSBK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BSBK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BSBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.74%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $9.22H $9.38L $9.10C $9.23VOL 6.8K
RES: $9.94SUP: $9.09SMA50: $9.13SMA200: $8.79
$9.65$9.25$8.85$8.45$8.06RES $9.94SUP $9.09$9.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BSBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
39.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BSBK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BSBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BSBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BSBK)

Financials Rank #823 of 1096 ⚔️ WSBK vs BSBK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BSBK vs. WSBK, FNWB, SRBK, HYNE)

Industry: Banks (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bogota Financial Corp. (BSBK) ranks #823 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #945 by equity capitalization ($117.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SRBK leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while SRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. SRBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with BSBK at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BSBK ACTIVE
Bogota Financial Corp.
D 51/100 56.3x — 1.5% -0.11% $117.8M Benchmark Subject
WSBK
Winchester Bancorp Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — -0.7% +0.41% $123.9M /wsbk-vs-bsbk →
FNWB
First Northwest Bancorp
D- 37/100 — — -2.7% -0.10% $98.1M /fnwb-vs-bsbk →
SRBK
SR Bancorp Inc.
D+ 57/100 29.3x — 2.7% +0.64% $150.5M /srbk-vs-bsbk →
HYNE
Hoyne Bancorp Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — 0.1% +1.44% $153.7M /hyne-vs-bsbk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001787414

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bogota Financial Corp. (BSBK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $2.1M, operating cash flow of $3.2M, and free cash flow of $3.1M (+199.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BSBK closed FY2025 with $904.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $2.1M $3.2M $3.1M $904.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$2.2M -$2.6M -$3.2M $971.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $642.5K $1.4M $1.4M — —

3. BSBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BSBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bogota Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: BSBK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $9.23 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $117.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BSBK ranks #823 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BSBK compare to WSBK and FNWB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Banks), BSBK carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 56.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.5%. By comparison, WSBK (Winchester Bancorp Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $123.9M) and FNWB (First Northwest Bancorp) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.7%, cap $98.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SRBK leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while SRBK leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BSBK?

Per BSBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001787414), Bogota Financial Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $2.1M in net income, and $3.1M in free cash flow against $904.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BSBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BSBK last traded at $9.23 (-0.11% on volume of 22,990 shares), positioning the stock +1.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.13) and +5.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.79). Across its 52-week range of $8.10 to $9.55, BSBK sits at the 77.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($9.06 to $9.40).

BSBK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BSBK stock right now?

Bogota Financial Corp. (BSBK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 56x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BSBK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BSBK's 12-month base price target is $8.94 (range $6.97 to $10.55), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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