Stock Ratings / Industrials / DEC / options

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Diversified Energy Company (DEC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$14.61 -0.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.57

Diversified Energy Company (DEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DEC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Diversified Energy Company (NYSE: DEC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $14.61 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DEC ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DEC compare to SLSR and CNL in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), DEC carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, SLSR (Solaris Resources Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.15B) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DEC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEC?

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Per DEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001922446), Diversified Energy Company generated $1.83B in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $341.1M in net income, and $280.0M in free cash flow against $6.17B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.57 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 15.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DEC SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 35% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 29.2% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$14.16+3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$14.58-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$14.44+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$14.61-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DEC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, DEC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.43) or 200D SMA ($14.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.48) toward Bear Floor ($11.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DEC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DEC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DEC)

✓Walkthrough of DEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.14%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $14.67H $14.67L $14.61C $14.61VOL 852.2K

RES: $17.34SUP: $13.50SMA50: $14.43SMA200: $14.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DEC Butterfly Map → + Track DEC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +141.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DEC)

Industrials Rank #185 of 485 ⚔️ SLSR vs DEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DEC vs. SLSR, CNL, PSUS, HSLV)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diversified Energy Company (DEC) ranks #185 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #244 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DEC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and — gross margin. DEC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DEC ACTIVE Diversified Energy Company	D+	56/100	—	—	11.5%	-0.41%	$1.12B	Benchmark Subject
SLSR Solaris Resources Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-0.72%	$1.15B	/slsr-vs-dec →
CNL Collective Mining Ltd.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-2.85%	$1.04B	/cnl-vs-dec →
PSUS Pershing Square USA Ltd.	D	48/100	—	—	—	+0.79%	$1.00B	/psus-vs-dec →
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp.	D-	42/100	—	—	—	-2.75%	$934.2M	/hslv-vs-dec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001922446

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diversified Energy Company (DEC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (+141.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $757.3M , and -6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $341.1M, operating cash flow of $464.6M, and free cash flow of $280.0M (+66.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DEC closed FY2025 with $6.17B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.51, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.83B	$341.1M	$464.6M	$280.0M	$6.17B	$2.72B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$757.3M	-$104.4M	$220.7M	$168.6M	$3.96B	$1.50B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.95B	$748.7M	$291.4M	$291.4M	—	—

3. DEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DEC compare to SLSR and CNL in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEC?

Where is DEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DEC last traded at $14.61 (-0.41% on volume of 852,228 shares), positioning the stock +1.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.43) and +1.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.45). Across its 52-week range of $12.35 to $18.90, DEC sits at the 34.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($13.78 to $15.44).

DEC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is DEC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for DEC.

Direct Sub-Reports: DEC RQD Cockpit DEC 12M Forecast DEC Earnings & Move DEC Dividends & DRIP DEC Insiders & 13F DEC Whale Options DEC Profit Sankey DEC News & Why