Stock Ratings / Industrials / DEC / insiders

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Diversified Energy Company (DEC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Is DEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Diversified Energy Company (NYSE: DEC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $14.61 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DEC ranks #285 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does DEC compare to SLSR and CNL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), DEC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, SLSR (Solaris Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.15B) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DEC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEC?

Per DEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001922446), Diversified Energy Company generated $1.83B in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $341.1M in net income, and $280.0M in free cash flow against $6.17B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is DEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DEC last traded at $14.61 (-0.41% on volume of 852,228 shares), positioning the stock +1.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.43) and +1.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.44). Across its 52-week range of $12.35 to $18.90, DEC sits at the 34.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($13.72 to $15.50).

Q: Are DEC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies DEC leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

$14.61 -0.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.57

Diversified Energy Company (DEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.57 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 15.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DEC SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.51 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$13.83+7.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$14.83-0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.69-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$14.61-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DEC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DEC currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.43) and Max Pain ($15.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

DEC Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (DEC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on DEC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DEC)

✓Walkthrough of DEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.25%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $14.58H $14.84L $14.38C $14.61VOL 1.23M

RES: $17.31SUP: $13.49SMA50: $14.43SMA200: $14.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DEC Butterfly Map → + Track DEC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +141.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DEC)

Industrials Rank #285 of 485 ⚔️ SLSR vs DEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DEC vs. SLSR, CNL, PSUS, HSLV)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diversified Energy Company (DEC) ranks #285 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #244 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DEC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and — gross margin. PSUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with DEC at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DEC ACTIVE Diversified Energy Company	D	51/100	—	—	11.5%	-0.41%	$1.12B	Benchmark Subject
SLSR Solaris Resources Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.72%	$1.15B	/slsr-vs-dec →
CNL Collective Mining Ltd.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.85%	$1.04B	/cnl-vs-dec →
PSUS Pershing Square USA Ltd.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+0.79%	$1.00B	/psus-vs-dec →
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.75%	$934.2M	/hslv-vs-dec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001922446

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diversified Energy Company (DEC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (+141.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $757.3M , and -6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $341.1M, operating cash flow of $464.6M, and free cash flow of $280.0M (+66.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DEC closed FY2025 with $6.17B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.51, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.83B	$341.1M	$464.6M	$280.0M	$6.17B	$2.72B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$757.3M	-$104.4M	$220.7M	$168.6M	$3.96B	$1.50B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.95B	$748.7M	$291.4M	$291.4M	—	—

3. DEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Diversified Energy Company (NYSE: DEC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $14.61 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DEC ranks #285 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DEC compare to SLSR and CNL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), DEC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, SLSR (Solaris Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.15B) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DEC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEC?

Per DEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001922446), Diversified Energy Company generated $1.83B in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $341.1M in net income, and $280.0M in free cash flow against $6.17B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DEC last traded at $14.61 (-0.41% on volume of 852,228 shares), positioning the stock +1.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.43) and +1.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.44). Across its 52-week range of $12.35 to $18.90, DEC sits at the 34.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($13.72 to $15.50).

DEC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are DEC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies DEC leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: DEC RQD Cockpit DEC 12M Forecast DEC Earnings & Move DEC Dividends & DRIP DEC Insiders & 13F DEC Whale Options DEC Profit Sankey DEC News & Why