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Why DEC Stock slipped -0.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$14.61 -0.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.57
Diversified Energy Company (DEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.12B
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Is DEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Diversified Energy Company (NYSE: DEC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $14.61 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DEC ranks #285 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does DEC compare to SLSR and CNL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), DEC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, SLSR (Solaris Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.15B) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DEC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEC?
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Per DEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001922446), Diversified Energy Company generated $1.83B in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $341.1M in net income, and $280.0M in free cash flow against $6.17B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.57 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 15.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DEC SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (29% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (20% of score)
Altman Z-Score 0.51 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$13.83+7.2% Next Q
43
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$14.83-0.9% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$14.69-0.5% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$14.61-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DEC Turnaround Squeeze
While DEC currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.43) and Max Pain ($15.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.84.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DEC Stock slipped -0.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Diversified Energy Company (DEC) slipped -0.41% to $14.61, trading at 35% of its 52-week range ($12.35 – $18.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 35% of its 52-week range ($12.35 – $18.9) with RSI-14 at 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $14.61 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $280.0M annual free cash flow.
Live DEC Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DEC)
- ✓Walkthrough of DEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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DEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.25%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $14.58H $14.84L $14.38C $14.61VOL 1.23M
RES: $17.31SUP: $13.49SMA50: $14.43SMA200: $14.44
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +141.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DEC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DEC)
Industrials Rank #285 of 485
⚔️ SLSR vs DEC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DEC vs. SLSR, CNL, PSUS, HSLV)
Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diversified Energy Company (DEC) ranks #285 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #244 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DEC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and — gross margin. PSUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with DEC at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEC
ACTIVE
Diversified Energy Company | D | 51/100 | — | — | 11.5% | -0.41% | $1.12B | Benchmark Subject |
| SLSR Solaris Resources Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -0.72% | $1.15B | /slsr-vs-dec → |
| CNL Collective Mining Ltd. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.85% | $1.04B | /cnl-vs-dec → |
| PSUS Pershing Square USA Ltd. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.79% | $1.00B | /psus-vs-dec → |
| HSLV Highlander Silver Corp. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -2.75% | $934.2M | /hslv-vs-dec → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001922446In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diversified Energy Company (DEC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (+141.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $757.3M , and -6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $341.1M, operating cash flow of $464.6M, and free cash flow of $280.0M (+66.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DEC closed FY2025 with $6.17B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.51, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.83B | $341.1M | $464.6M | $280.0M | $6.17B | $2.72B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $757.3M | -$104.4M | $220.7M | $168.6M | $3.96B | $1.50B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.95B | $748.7M | $291.4M | $291.4M | — | — |
3. DEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Diversified Energy Company (NYSE: DEC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $14.61 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DEC ranks #285 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DEC compare to SLSR and CNL in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), DEC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, SLSR (Solaris Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.15B) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DEC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEC?
Per DEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001922446), Diversified Energy Company generated $1.83B in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $341.1M in net income, and $280.0M in free cash flow against $6.17B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DEC last traded at $14.61 (-0.41% on volume of 852,228 shares), positioning the stock +1.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.43) and +1.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.44). Across its 52-week range of $12.35 to $18.90, DEC sits at the 34.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($13.72 to $15.50).
DEC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DEC stock moving today?
Why DEC Stock slipped -0.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.