MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why CWT Stock advanced +1.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$47.62 +1.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.62
California Water Service Group (CWT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.94B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.62 (-0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 31.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CWT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CWT SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.4% FCF Margin ($302.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 51% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$45.94+0.9% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$46.35+3.6% Next Q
62
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$48.04-0.9% Next Q
64
CurrentGrade C+$47.62+1.6% Hist 90D α
67
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CWT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CWT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($47.61) or 200D SMA ($46.64) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($49.55) toward Bear Floor ($38.65).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CWT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CWT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CWT Stock advanced +1.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
California Water Service Group (CWT) advanced +1.00% to $47.62, trading at 51% of its 52-week range ($41.29 – $53.82). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at 23x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 51% of its 52-week range ($41.29 – $53.82) with RSI-14 at 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $47.62 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $302.6M annual free cash flow.
Live CWT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CWT Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CWT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.74%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $48.30H $48.64L $47.41C $47.62VOL 603.5K
RES: $51.08SUP: $43.08SMA50: $47.61SMA200: $46.64
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CWT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CWT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CWT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CWT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CWT)
Utilities Rank #16 of 117
⚔️ HTO vs CWT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CWT vs. HTO, AWR, MSEX, WTRG)
Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, California Water Service Group (CWT) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #69 by equity capitalization ($2.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WTRG leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while WTRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CWT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWT
ACTIVE
California Water Service Group | C+ | 67/100 | 23.0x | — | — | +1.00% | $2.94B | Benchmark Subject |
| HTO H2O America | C- | 60/100 | 27.6x | — | 4.1% | -5.23% | $2.83B | /hto-vs-cwt → |
| AWR American States Water Company | C | 63/100 | 25.9x | 90.8% | 8.9% | +1.08% | $3.38B | /awr-vs-cwt → |
| MSEX Middlesex Water Company | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | 4.9% | -0.05% | $1.04B | /msex-vs-cwt → |
| WTRG Essential Utilities Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 10.9x | — | 9.9% | +1.21% | $12.14B | /wtrg-vs-cwt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001035201In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), California Water Service Group (CWT) reported GAAP revenue of $963.7M (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $905.6M , and +21.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $127.8M, operating cash flow of $302.6M, and free cash flow of $302.6M (+4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CWT closed FY2025 with $5.67B in total assets against $1.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $963.7M | $127.8M | $302.6M | $302.6M | $5.67B | $1.47B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $905.6M | $190.8M | $290.9M | $290.9M | $5.18B | $1.10B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $790.3M | $51.9M | $217.8M | $217.8M | — | — |
3. CWT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CWT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, California Water Service Group (NYSE: CWT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $47.62 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CWT ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CWT compare to HTO and AWR in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), CWT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HTO (H2O America) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.83B) and AWR (American States Water Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WTRG leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while WTRG leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CWT?
Per CWT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035201), California Water Service Group generated $963.7M in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $127.8M in net income, and $302.6M in free cash flow against $5.67B in total assets and $1.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CWT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CWT last traded at $47.62 (+1.00% on volume of 577,515 shares), positioning the stock +0.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.61) and +2.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.64). Across its 52-week range of $41.29 to $53.82, CWT sits at the 50.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($45.14 to $50.10).
CWT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CWT stock moving today?
Why CWT Stock advanced +1.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at 23x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.