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Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$55.35 -0.05% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.24

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.04B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.24 (-0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 32.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MSEX SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+19/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 72% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32.2% FCF Margin ($62.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$53.43+2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$54.59+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$56.03-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$55.35+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSEX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, MSEX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.50) or 200D SMA ($54.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.59) toward Bear Floor ($44.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSEX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MSEX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

62.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE72% OF RANGE

L: $44$55.35H: $60

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MSEX

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

4.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (68)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 19/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MSEX

✓Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MSEX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MSEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.79%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $57.29H $57.29L $55.35C $55.35VOL 175.0K

RES: $62.08SUP: $52.18SMA50: $55.50SMA200: $54.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSEX Butterfly Map → + Track MSEX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSEX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSEX)

Utilities Rank #17 of 117 ⚔️ YORW vs MSEX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (MSEX vs. YORW, CWCO, CDZI, HTO)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) ranks #17 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #78 by equity capitalization ($1.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CWCO leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while CWCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 36.6% gross margin. CWCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with MSEX at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MSEX ACTIVE Middlesex Water Company	C+	67/100	—	—	4.9%	-0.05%	$1.04B	Benchmark Subject
YORW York Water Company	C+	67/100	25.1x	—	4.7%	-0.61%	$504.2M	/yorw-vs-msex →
CWCO Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.	B+	80/100	23.4x	36.6%	14.8%	-0.89%	$428.5M	/cwco-vs-msex →
CDZI CADIZ Inc.	E	34/100	—	31.6%	-23.1%	-0.21%	$398.8M	/cdzi-vs-msex →
HTO H2O America	C-	60/100	27.6x	—	4.1%	-5.23%	$2.83B	/hto-vs-msex →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000066004

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) reported GAAP revenue of $194.7M (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $191.9M , and +17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $43, operating cash flow of $62.6M, and free cash flow of $62.6M (+493.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSEX closed FY2025 with $1.37B in total assets against $378.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$194.7M	$43	$62.6M	$62.6M	$1.37B	$378.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$191.9M	$44	$58.7M	-$15.9M	$1.26B	$352.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$166.3M	$32	$52.8M	$52.8M	—	—

3. MSEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Middlesex Water Company (NASDAQ: MSEX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $55.35 (-0.05% 1D, market cap $1.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 19/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, MSEX ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSEX compare to YORW and CWCO in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), MSEX carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, YORW (York Water Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 25.1x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $504.2M) and CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $428.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CWCO leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while CWCO leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSEX?

Per MSEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000066004), Middlesex Water Company generated $194.7M in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $43 in net income, and $62.6M in free cash flow against $1.37B in total assets and $378.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSEX last traded at $55.35 (-0.05% on volume of 121,113 shares), positioning the stock -0.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($55.50) and +2.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($54.17). Across its 52-week range of $44.17 to $59.80, MSEX sits at the 71.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($52.86 to $57.84).

MSEX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MSEX stock right now?

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is MSEX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MSEX's 12-month base price target is $57.59 (range $44.92 to $67.96), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MSEX RQD Cockpit MSEX 12M Forecast MSEX Earnings & Move MSEX Dividends & DRIP MSEX Insiders & 13F MSEX Whale Options MSEX Profit Sankey MSEX News & Why