Stock Ratings / Utilities / MSEX / dividends

YORW (67) CWCO (80) CDZI (34) HTO (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$55.35 -0.05% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.24

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.04B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MSEX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MSEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Middlesex Water Company (NASDAQ: MSEX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $55.35 (-0.05% 1D, market cap $1.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 19/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, MSEX ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MSEX compare to YORW and CWCO in the Utilities sector?

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Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), MSEX carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, YORW (York Water Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 25.1x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $504.2M) and CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $428.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CWCO leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while CWCO leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSEX?

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Per MSEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000066004), Middlesex Water Company generated $194.7M in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $43 in net income, and $62.6M in free cash flow against $1.37B in total assets and $378.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.24 (-0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 32.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MSEX SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+19/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 72% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32.2% FCF Margin ($62.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$53.43+2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$54.59+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$56.03-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$55.35+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSEX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, MSEX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.50) or 200D SMA ($54.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.59) toward Bear Floor ($44.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSEX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MSEX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

4.19% Total Yield

2.39% Cash ($1.32/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

25.9% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $20,997

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $880/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.8K

Yr 1

$11.6K

Yr 2

$12.5K

Yr 3

$13.5K

Yr 4

$14.5K

Yr 5

$15.6K

Yr 6

$16.8K

Yr 7

$18.1K

Yr 8

$19.5K

Yr 9

$21.0K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in MSEX & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on MSEX and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MSEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.79%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $57.29H $57.29L $55.35C $55.35VOL 175.0K

RES: $62.08SUP: $52.18SMA50: $55.50SMA200: $54.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSEX Butterfly Map → + Track MSEX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSEX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSEX)

Utilities Rank #17 of 117 ⚔️ YORW vs MSEX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (MSEX vs. YORW, CWCO, CDZI, HTO)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) ranks #17 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #78 by equity capitalization ($1.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CWCO leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while CWCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 36.6% gross margin. CWCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with MSEX at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MSEX ACTIVE Middlesex Water Company	C+	67/100	—	—	4.9%	-0.05%	$1.04B	Benchmark Subject
YORW York Water Company	C+	67/100	25.1x	—	4.7%	-0.61%	$504.2M	/yorw-vs-msex →
CWCO Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.	B+	80/100	23.4x	36.6%	14.8%	-0.89%	$428.5M	/cwco-vs-msex →
CDZI CADIZ Inc.	E	34/100	—	31.6%	-23.1%	-0.21%	$398.8M	/cdzi-vs-msex →
HTO H2O America	C-	60/100	27.6x	—	4.1%	-5.23%	$2.83B	/hto-vs-msex →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000066004

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) reported GAAP revenue of $194.7M (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $191.9M , and +17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $43, operating cash flow of $62.6M, and free cash flow of $62.6M (+493.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSEX closed FY2025 with $1.37B in total assets against $378.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$194.7M	$43	$62.6M	$62.6M	$1.37B	$378.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$191.9M	$44	$58.7M	-$15.9M	$1.26B	$352.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$166.3M	$32	$52.8M	$52.8M	—	—

3. MSEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MSEX compare to YORW and CWCO in the Utilities sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSEX?

Where is MSEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSEX last traded at $55.35 (-0.05% on volume of 121,113 shares), positioning the stock -0.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($55.50) and +2.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($54.17). Across its 52-week range of $44.17 to $59.80, MSEX sits at the 71.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($52.86 to $57.84).

MSEX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does MSEX pay a dividend and is it safe?

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) offers a 2.39% cash dividend yield ($1.32 annualized) and 4.19% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: MSEX RQD Cockpit MSEX 12M Forecast MSEX Earnings & Move MSEX Dividends & DRIP MSEX Insiders & 13F MSEX Whale Options MSEX Profit Sankey MSEX News & Why