Stock Ratings / Utilities / CWT / earnings

HTO (60) AWR (63) MSEX (67) WTRG (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

California Water Service Group (CWT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.2% Move

$47.62 +1.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.62

California Water Service Group (CWT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.94B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.62 (-0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 31.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CWT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CWT SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.4% FCF Margin ($302.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 51% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$45.94+0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$46.35+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$48.04-0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$47.62+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CWT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CWT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($47.61) or 200D SMA ($46.64) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($49.55) toward Bear Floor ($38.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CWT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CWT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.2% Swing Band

±$2.48 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CWT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $2.07 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6.4%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$963.7M	$127.8M	$302.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$905.6M	$190.8M	$290.9M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$790.3M	$51.9M	$217.8M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CWT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CWT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CWT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.74%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $48.30H $48.64L $47.41C $47.62VOL 603.5K

RES: $51.08SUP: $43.08SMA50: $47.61SMA200: $46.64

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CWT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CWT Butterfly Map → + Track CWT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CWT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CWT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CWT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CWT)

Utilities Rank #16 of 117 ⚔️ HTO vs CWT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CWT vs. HTO, AWR, MSEX, WTRG)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, California Water Service Group (CWT) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #69 by equity capitalization ($2.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WTRG leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while WTRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CWT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CWT ACTIVE California Water Service Group	C+	67/100	23.0x	—	—	+1.00%	$2.94B	Benchmark Subject
HTO H2O America	C-	60/100	27.6x	—	4.1%	-5.23%	$2.83B	/hto-vs-cwt →
AWR American States Water Company	C	63/100	25.9x	90.8%	8.9%	+1.08%	$3.38B	/awr-vs-cwt →
MSEX Middlesex Water Company	C+	67/100	—	—	4.9%	-0.05%	$1.04B	/msex-vs-cwt →
WTRG Essential Utilities Inc.	D+	55/100	10.9x	—	9.9%	+1.21%	$12.14B	/wtrg-vs-cwt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001035201

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), California Water Service Group (CWT) reported GAAP revenue of $963.7M (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $905.6M , and +21.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $127.8M, operating cash flow of $302.6M, and free cash flow of $302.6M (+4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CWT closed FY2025 with $5.67B in total assets against $1.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$963.7M	$127.8M	$302.6M	$302.6M	$5.67B	$1.47B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$905.6M	$190.8M	$290.9M	$290.9M	$5.18B	$1.10B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$790.3M	$51.9M	$217.8M	$217.8M	—	—

3. CWT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CWT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, California Water Service Group (NYSE: CWT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $47.62 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CWT ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CWT compare to HTO and AWR in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), CWT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HTO (H2O America) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.83B) and AWR (American States Water Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WTRG leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while WTRG leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CWT?

Per CWT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035201), California Water Service Group generated $963.7M in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $127.8M in net income, and $302.6M in free cash flow against $5.67B in total assets and $1.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CWT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CWT last traded at $47.62 (+1.00% on volume of 577,515 shares), positioning the stock +0.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.61) and +2.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.64). Across its 52-week range of $41.29 to $53.82, CWT sits at the 50.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($45.14 to $50.10).

CWT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CWT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, California Water Service Group (CWT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CWT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.2% event move for CWT, spanning a range between $45.14 and $50.1.

Direct Sub-Reports: CWT RQD Cockpit CWT 12M Forecast CWT Earnings & Move CWT Dividends & DRIP CWT Insiders & 13F CWT Whale Options CWT Profit Sankey CWT News & Why