MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Coty's Q1 Earnings on Deck: Key Factors You Should UnderstandCOTY's fiscal first-quarter results are likely to reflect softer sales and margin pressures, despite innovation, brand initiatives and cost-control efforts.
Why COTY Stock slipped -0.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.35 -0.30% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.34
Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.95B
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Is COTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Coty Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: COTY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $3.35 (-0.30% 1D, market cap $2.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COTY ranks #634 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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How does COTY compare to IPAR and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), COTY carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.8%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.70B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COTY?
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Per COTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001024305), Coty Inc. (Class A) generated $5.89B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), -$381.1M in net income, and $492.6M in free cash flow against $11.08B in total assets and $2.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.34 (-0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY COTY SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (30% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 65% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 73.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$2.85+12.3% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$3.20+0.9% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$3.23+3.7% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$3.35-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COTY Turnaround Squeeze
While COTY currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.85) and Max Pain ($3.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.37.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COTY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “COTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why COTY Stock slipped -0.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) slipped -0.30% to $3.35, trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($1.82 – $4.16). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($1.82 – $4.16) with RSI-14 at 73.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.9% around $3.35 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 64.8% gross margin and $492.6M annual free cash flow.
Live COTY Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Coty Strengthens AI Search Strategy Through Brandlight PartnershipCOTY partners with Brandlight to boost AI-driven beauty discovery, optimize digital marketing and strengthen brand visibility across generative search platforms.
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 4d ago
Top 3 Risk Off Stocks That May Implode In OctoberChurch & Dwight, Instacart and Coty show overbought RSI readings, signaling potential momentum warnings for investors.
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Coty and Brandlight Unveil Strategic Partnership to Strengthen Brand Visibility Across AI-powered Search and DiscoveryNEW YORK, October 27, 2026--Coty Inc. (NYSE: COTY), one of the world's largest beauty companies, and Brandlight, the market leader in AI visibility, today announced a strategic partnership to unleash the potential of bra
CATALYSTBenzinga • 5d ago
Coty And Brandlight Announce Strategic Partnership To Unleash Potential Of Brand Discovery And Visibility Across AI Assistants And Generative AI Search PlatformsCoty Inc. (NYSE:COTY), one of the world's largest beauty companies, and Brandlight, the market leader in AI visibility, today announced a strategic partnership to unleash the potential of brand discovery and
RISK WATCHYahoo • 10d ago
3 small-cap stocks that fall shortInvestors looking for hidden gems should keep an eye on small-cap stocks because they’re frequently overlooked by Wall Street. Many opportunities exist in this part of the market, but it is also a high-risk, high-reward
CATALYSTBenzinga • 10d ago
L'Oréal Q3 Sales €11.56 Billion Vs €11.23 Billion Est.; Q3 E-Commerce Up Around +17%; Nicolas Hieronimus, CEO of L'Oréal Says Our Performance In The First Nine Months Gives Me Confidence That L’Oréal Will Deliver Another Year Of Growth In Sales And Profit, Whilst Strengthening Our Global Leadershiphttps://www.loreal.com/en/press-release/finance/sales-at-30-september-2026/
RISK WATCHYahoo • 11d ago
Coty Sharpens Climate Goals, Cuts Water and Packaging Use in FY26 Sustainability ReportNEW YORK, October 21, 2026--Coty’s FY26 Sustainability Report highlights sharper climate goals, lower water and virgin plastic use, and investment in employee skills.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COTY)
- ✓Walkthrough of COTY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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COTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.18%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $3.39H $3.44L $3.30C $3.35VOL 4.65M
RES: $3.90SUP: $2.69SMA50: $2.85SMA200: $2.53
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
COTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COTY today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COTY)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #634 of 1011
⚔️ IPAR vs COTY Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (COTY vs. IPAR, SCL, EPC, ELF)
Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) ranks #634 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #365 by equity capitalization ($2.95B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPAR leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while IPAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 63.6% gross margin. IPAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with COTY at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COTY
ACTIVE
Coty Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | 64.8% | 3.1% | -0.30% | $2.95B | Benchmark Subject |
| IPAR Interparfums Inc. | A- | 81/100 | 17.8x | 63.6% | 21.3% | +1.10% | $3.70B | /ipar-vs-coty → |
| SCL Stepan Company | D+ | 55/100 | 33.9x | 11.6% | 4.3% | +2.31% | $1.59B | /scl-vs-coty → |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company | C- | 60/100 | 51.8x | 41.6% | 2.5% | +3.25% | $1.32B | /epc-vs-coty → |
| ELF e.l.f. Beauty Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | — | 70.7% | 4.0% | -2.13% | $6.66B | /elf-vs-coty → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001024305In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) reported GAAP revenue of $5.89B (-3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.12B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$381.1M, operating cash flow of $492.6M, and free cash flow of $492.6M (-19.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COTY closed FY2025 with $11.08B in total assets against $2.99B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $5.89B | -$381.1M | $492.6M | $492.6M | $11.08B | $2.99B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $6.12B | $76.2M | $614.6M | $614.6M | $11.72B | $3.39B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $5.55B | $495.0M | $625.7M | $625.7M | — | — |
3. COTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs COTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Coty Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: COTY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $3.35 (-0.30% 1D, market cap $2.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COTY ranks #634 in composite RQD confidence.
How does COTY compare to IPAR and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), COTY carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.8%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.70B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COTY?
Per COTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001024305), Coty Inc. (Class A) generated $5.89B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), -$381.1M in net income, and $492.6M in free cash flow against $11.08B in total assets and $2.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is COTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
COTY last traded at $3.35 (-0.30% on volume of 3,525,037 shares), positioning the stock +17.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.85) and +32.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.53). Across its 52-week range of $1.82 to $4.16, COTY sits at the 65.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 73.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($3.05 to $3.65).
COTY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is COTY stock moving today?
Why COTY Stock slipped -0.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.