Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.9% Move

$3.35 -0.30% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.95B
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
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Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.9% Swing Band

±$0.30 Expected Swing
$3.05 (-8.9%)Spot $3.35$3.65 (+8.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

COTY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.7%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
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Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-06-30$5.89B-$381.1M$492.6M64.8%
FY 20242024-06-30$6.12B$76.2M$614.6M64.4%
FY 20232023-06-30$5.55B$495.0M$625.7M64.8%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COTY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of COTY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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COTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.18%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $3.39H $3.44L $3.30C $3.35VOL 4.65M
RES: $3.90SUP: $2.69SMA50: $2.85SMA200: $2.53
$3.55$3.08$2.61$2.14$1.67RES $3.90SUP $2.69$3.352026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COTY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COTY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #634 of 1011 ⚔️ IPAR vs COTY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (COTY vs. IPAR, SCL, EPC, ELF)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) ranks #634 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #365 by equity capitalization ($2.95B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPAR leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while IPAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 63.6% gross margin. IPAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with COTY at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COTY ACTIVE
Coty Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — 64.8% 3.1% -0.30% $2.95B Benchmark Subject
IPAR
Interparfums Inc.
A- 81/100 17.8x 63.6% 21.3% +1.10% $3.70B /ipar-vs-coty →
SCL
Stepan Company
D+ 55/100 33.9x 11.6% 4.3% +2.31% $1.59B /scl-vs-coty →
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care Company
C- 60/100 51.8x 41.6% 2.5% +3.25% $1.32B /epc-vs-coty →
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty Inc.
C+ 69/100 — 70.7% 4.0% -2.13% $6.66B /elf-vs-coty →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001024305

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY) reported GAAP revenue of $5.89B (-3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.12B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$381.1M, operating cash flow of $492.6M, and free cash flow of $492.6M (-19.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COTY closed FY2025 with $11.08B in total assets against $2.99B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $5.89B -$381.1M $492.6M $492.6M $11.08B $2.99B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $6.12B $76.2M $614.6M $614.6M $11.72B $3.39B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $5.55B $495.0M $625.7M $625.7M — —

3. COTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Coty Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: COTY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $3.35 (-0.30% 1D, market cap $2.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COTY ranks #634 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COTY compare to IPAR and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), COTY carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.8%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, IPAR (Interparfums Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $3.70B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COTY?

Per COTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001024305), Coty Inc. (Class A) generated $5.89B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), -$381.1M in net income, and $492.6M in free cash flow against $11.08B in total assets and $2.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COTY last traded at $3.35 (-0.30% on volume of 3,525,037 shares), positioning the stock +17.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.85) and +32.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.53). Across its 52-week range of $1.82 to $4.16, COTY sits at the 65.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 73.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($3.05 to $3.65).

COTY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is COTY's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Coty Inc. (Class A) (COTY)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is COTY stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.9% event move for COTY, spanning a range between $3.05 and $3.65.

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