MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why COCO Stock slipped -0.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$56.27 -0.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.14
The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.21B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $56.27 (-0.18% 1D, market cap $3.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.28B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?
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Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.15 (-0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 6.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY COCO SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)
Altman Z-Score 18.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.4% FCF Margin ($39.0M FCF) & 36.5% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$58.39+0.5% Next Q
64
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$58.69-3.7% Next Q
61
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$56.53-0.5% Next Q
59
CurrentGrade D+$56.27-0.4% Hist 90D α
56
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the COCO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, COCO faces multiple-compression risk if 44.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.44) or 200D SMA ($61.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.76) toward Bear Floor ($43.49).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “COCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why COCO Stock slipped -0.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) slipped -0.18% to $56.27, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($39.69 – $85.83). Stretched risk/reward at 44x P/E (41% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($39.69 – $85.83) with RSI-14 at 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.1% around $56.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 36.5% gross margin and $39.0M annual free cash flow.
Live COCO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COCO)
- ✓Walkthrough of COCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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COCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.73%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $57.03H $58.72L $56.27C $56.27VOL 1.27M
RES: $64.56SUP: $39.28SMA50: $57.44SMA200: $61.74
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
COCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COCO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COCO)
Consumer Staples Rank #70 of 146
⚔️ FIZZ vs COCO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (COCO vs. FIZZ, SAM, CCU, PRMB)
Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) ranks #70 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. FIZZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with COCO at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COCO
ACTIVE
The Vita Coco Company Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 44.2x | 36.5% | 40.6% | -0.18% | $3.21B | Benchmark Subject |
| FIZZ National Beverage Corp. | B | 73/100 | 17.9x | 37.0% | 65.6% | +2.19% | $3.28B | /fizz-vs-coco → |
| SAM Boston Beer Company Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 18.4x | 48.5% | 18.4% | +0.13% | $2.01B | /sam-vs-coco → |
| CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -1.88% | $1.93B | /ccu-vs-coco → |
| PRMB Primo Brands Corporation | D- | 36/100 | 117.4x | 30.3% | 4.4% | +0.78% | $7.06B | /prmb-vs-coco → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001482981In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) reported GAAP revenue of $609.8M (+18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $516.0M ) , GAAP net income of $72.7M, operating cash flow of $47.2M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-6.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COCO closed FY2025 with $461.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 18.24, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $609.8M | $72.7M | $47.2M | $39.0M | $461.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $516.0M | $56.0M | $42.9M | $41.9M | $362.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $46.6M | $107.2M | $107.2M | — | — |
3. COCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $56.27 (-0.18% 1D, market cap $3.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.
How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.28B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?
Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is COCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
COCO last traded at $56.27 (-0.18% on volume of 920,987 shares), positioning the stock -2.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($57.44) and -8.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.74). Across its 52-week range of $39.69 to $85.83, COCO sits at the 35.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($49.46 to $63.08).
COCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is COCO stock moving today?
Why COCO Stock slipped -0.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 44x P/E (41% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.