The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$56.27 -0.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.14

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.21B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.15 (-0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 6.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$90 Bull$56 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE COCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY COCO SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 18.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.4% FCF Margin ($39.0M FCF) & 36.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$58.39+0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$58.69-3.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$56.53-0.5% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$56.27-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the COCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, COCO faces multiple-compression risk if 44.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.44) or 200D SMA ($61.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.76) toward Bear Floor ($43.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “COCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COCO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of COCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
COCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.73%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $57.03H $58.72L $56.27C $56.27VOL 1.27M
RES: $64.56SUP: $39.28SMA50: $57.44SMA200: $61.74
$88.55$77.28$66.01$54.74$43.47RES $64.56SUP $39.28$56.272026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COCO)

Consumer Staples Rank #70 of 146 ⚔️ FIZZ vs COCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (COCO vs. FIZZ, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) ranks #70 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. FIZZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with COCO at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COCO ACTIVE
The Vita Coco Company Inc.
D+ 56/100 44.2x 36.5% 40.6% -0.18% $3.21B Benchmark Subject
FIZZ
National Beverage Corp.
B 73/100 17.9x 37.0% 65.6% +2.19% $3.28B /fizz-vs-coco →
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc.
B- 70/100 18.4x 48.5% 18.4% +0.13% $2.01B /sam-vs-coco →
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
D+ 58/100 — — — -1.88% $1.93B /ccu-vs-coco →
PRMB
Primo Brands Corporation
D- 36/100 117.4x 30.3% 4.4% +0.78% $7.06B /prmb-vs-coco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001482981

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) reported GAAP revenue of $609.8M (+18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $516.0M ) , GAAP net income of $72.7M, operating cash flow of $47.2M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-6.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COCO closed FY2025 with $461.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 18.24, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $609.8M $72.7M $47.2M $39.0M $461.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $516.0M $56.0M $42.9M $41.9M $362.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $46.6M $107.2M $107.2M — —

3. COCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $56.27 (-0.18% 1D, market cap $3.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.28B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?

Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COCO last traded at $56.27 (-0.18% on volume of 920,987 shares), positioning the stock -2.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($57.44) and -8.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.74). Across its 52-week range of $39.69 to $85.83, COCO sits at the 35.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($49.46 to $63.08).

COCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does COCO pay a dividend and is it safe?

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%