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The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$56.27 -0.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.21B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your COCO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $56.27: 177.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $43.49

$7,729

$-2,271 (-22.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $55.76

$9,909

$-91 (-0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $90.12

$16,016

+$6,016 (+60.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$58	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$85	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$50	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COCO)

✓Walkthrough of COCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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COCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.73%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $57.03H $58.72L $56.27C $56.27VOL 1.27M

RES: $64.56SUP: $39.28SMA50: $57.44SMA200: $61.74

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COCO Butterfly Map → + Track COCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

33.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COCO)

Consumer Staples Rank #70 of 146 ⚔️ FIZZ vs COCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (COCO vs. FIZZ, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) ranks #70 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #47 by equity capitalization ($3.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. FIZZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with COCO at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
COCO ACTIVE The Vita Coco Company Inc.	D+	56/100	44.2x	36.5%	40.6%	-0.18%	$3.21B	Benchmark Subject
FIZZ National Beverage Corp.	B	73/100	17.9x	37.0%	65.6%	+2.19%	$3.28B	/fizz-vs-coco →
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	48.5%	18.4%	+0.13%	$2.01B	/sam-vs-coco →
CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.88%	$1.93B	/ccu-vs-coco →
PRMB Primo Brands Corporation	D-	36/100	117.4x	30.3%	4.4%	+0.78%	$7.06B	/prmb-vs-coco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001482981

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) reported GAAP revenue of $609.8M (+18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $516.0M ) , GAAP net income of $72.7M, operating cash flow of $47.2M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-6.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COCO closed FY2025 with $461.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 18.24, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$609.8M	$72.7M	$47.2M	$39.0M	$461.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$516.0M	$56.0M	$42.9M	$41.9M	$362.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$46.6M	$107.2M	$107.2M	—	—

3. COCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $56.27 (-0.18% 1D, market cap $3.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.28B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?

Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COCO last traded at $56.27 (-0.18% on volume of 920,987 shares), positioning the stock -2.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($57.44) and -8.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.74). Across its 52-week range of $39.69 to $85.83, COCO sits at the 35.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($49.46 to $63.08).

COCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is COCO's 12-month stock price target?

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $55.76 (-0.9% from $56.27), with a bull-case target of $90.12 and a bear-case floor of $43.49.

Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates COCO D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 56/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: COCO RQD Cockpit COCO 12M Forecast COCO Earnings & Move COCO Dividends & DRIP COCO Insiders & 13F COCO Whale Options COCO Profit Sankey COCO News & Why