Why CDXS Stock dropped -3.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.22 -3.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21

Codexis Inc. (CDXS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $133.6M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CDXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Codexis Inc. (NASDAQ: CDXS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-3.17% 1D, market cap $133.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CDXS ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CDXS compare to ACNT and LODE in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), CDXS carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ACNT (Ascent Industries Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E 143.4x, ROIC -18.9%, cap $124.3M) and LODE (Comstock Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.3%, cap $122.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACNT leads on earnings multiple (143.4x) while LTBR leads on capital efficiency (-9.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDXS?
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Per CDXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001200375), Codexis Inc. generated $70.4M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), -$44.0M in net income, and -$23.8M in free cash flow against $147.8M in total assets and $40.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21 (-0.76%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.6% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CDXS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDXS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDXS SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 86.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$1.41-6.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$1.32-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$1.30-6.2% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$1.22-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CDXS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CDXS currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.39) and Max Pain ($1.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDXS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDXS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CDXS Stock dropped -3.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Codexis Inc. (CDXS) dropped -3.17% to $1.22, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($0.96 – $2.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($0.96 – $2.98) with RSI-14 at 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.22 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 86.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CDXS Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDXS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CDXS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CDXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.39%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $1.26H $1.26L $1.22C $1.22VOL 917.3K
RES: $1.26SUP: $1.18SMA50: $1.39SMA200: $1.81
$3.11$2.58$2.06$1.53$1.01RES $1.26SUP $1.18$1.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDXS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDXS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDXS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDXS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDXS)

Materials Rank #260 of 270 ⚔️ ACNT vs CDXS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CDXS vs. ACNT, LODE, AMTX, LTBR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Codexis Inc. (CDXS) ranks #260 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #222 by equity capitalization ($133.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACNT leads on earnings valuation at 143.4x trailing P/E, while LTBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -9.1% ROIC and — gross margin. ACNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 31/100 (E) compared with CDXS at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CDXS ACTIVE
Codexis Inc.
E 23/100 — 86.7% -35.0% -3.17% $133.6M Benchmark Subject
ACNT
Ascent Industries Co.
E 31/100 143.4x 23.0% -18.9% +1.40% $124.3M /acnt-vs-cdxs →
LODE
Comstock Inc.
E 21/100 — -30.0% -33.3% -5.85% $122.3M /lode-vs-cdxs →
AMTX
Aemetis Inc.
E 28/100 — -0.4% -35.0% -0.77% $93.1M /amtx-vs-cdxs →
LTBR
Lightbridge Corporation
E 28/100 — — -9.1% -0.73% $202.3M /ltbr-vs-cdxs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001200375

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Codexis Inc. (CDXS) reported GAAP revenue of $70.4M (+18.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $59.3M , and +0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.0M, operating cash flow of -$19.4M, and free cash flow of -$23.8M (+55.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDXS closed FY2025 with $147.8M in total assets against $40.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $70.4M -$44.0M -$19.4M -$23.8M $147.8M $40.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $59.3M -$65.3M -$49.4M -$53.7M $149.0M $28.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $70.1M -$76.2M -$52.6M -$52.6M — —

3. CDXS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Codexis Inc. (NASDAQ: CDXS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-3.17% 1D, market cap $133.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CDXS ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CDXS compare to ACNT and LODE in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), CDXS carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ACNT (Ascent Industries Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E 143.4x, ROIC -18.9%, cap $124.3M) and LODE (Comstock Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.3%, cap $122.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACNT leads on earnings multiple (143.4x) while LTBR leads on capital efficiency (-9.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDXS?

Per CDXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001200375), Codexis Inc. generated $70.4M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), -$44.0M in net income, and -$23.8M in free cash flow against $147.8M in total assets and $40.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CDXS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDXS last traded at $1.22 (-3.17% on volume of 917,307 shares), positioning the stock -12.23% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.39) and -32.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.81). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $2.98, CDXS sits at the 12.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.07 to $1.37).

CDXS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CDXS stock moving today?

Why CDXS Stock dropped -3.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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