Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CBRL / options

ARCO (57) WEN (58) SG (22) BJRI (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$72.45 +2.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.60

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.62B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.60 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBRL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CBRL SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.7% FCF Margin ($59.8M FCF) & 69% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67.6) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$57.46+20% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$68.97-1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$67.66+7.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$72.45+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBRL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, CBRL faces multiple-compression risk if 34.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 66.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($56.85) or 200D SMA ($42.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($74.73) toward Bear Floor ($58.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBRL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CBRL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±9.1%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CBRL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CBRL.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CBRL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CBRL
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CBRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +131.32%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $72.50H $73.67L $69.83C $72.45VOL 743.6K

RES: $72.51SUP: $40.27SMA50: $56.85SMA200: $42.72

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBRL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CBRL Butterfly Map → + Track CBRL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBRL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBRL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBRL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBRL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #283 of 1011 ⚔️ ARCO vs CBRL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CBRL vs. ARCO, WEN, SG, BJRI)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) ranks #283 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #445 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. CBRL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CBRL ACTIVE Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc	C	65/100	34.9x	69.0%	5.4%	+2.23%	$1.62B	Benchmark Subject
ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	6.9x	96.0%	18.9%	-0.29%	$1.45B	/arco-vs-cbrl →
WEN Wendy's Company	D+	58/100	8.3x	63.6%	10.7%	+1.34%	$1.37B	/wen-vs-cbrl →
SG Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)	E	22/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.51%	$1.36B	/sg-vs-cbrl →
BJRI BJ's Restaurants Inc.	C	65/100	27.6x	74.7%	10.7%	+4.58%	$1.35B	/bjri-vs-cbrl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-01 • CIK 0001067294

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.48B (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.47B , and +1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.4M, operating cash flow of $218.9M, and free cash flow of $59.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBRL closed FY2025 with $2.10B in total assets against $381.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-08-01	$3.48B	$46.4M	$218.9M	$59.8M	$2.10B	$381.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-08-02	$3.47B	$40.9M	$169.0M	$40.7M	$2.15B	$471.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-07-28	$3.44B	$99.1M	$250.5M	$250.5M	—	—

3. CBRL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (NASDAQ: CBRL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $72.45 (+2.23% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CBRL ranks #283 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBRL compare to ARCO and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CBRL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of 69.0%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 6.9x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $1.45B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRL?

Per CBRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01, CIK 0001067294), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc generated $3.48B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), $46.4M in net income, and $59.8M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $381.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBRL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBRL last traded at $72.45 (+2.23% on volume of 743,130 shares), positioning the stock +27.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($56.85) and +69.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($42.72). Across its 52-week range of $24.85 to $73.67, CBRL sits at the 97.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($65.86 to $79.04).

CBRL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CBRL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CBRL.

Direct Sub-Reports: CBRL RQD Cockpit CBRL 12M Forecast CBRL Earnings & Move CBRL Dividends & DRIP CBRL Insiders & 13F CBRL Whale Options CBRL Profit Sankey CBRL News & Why