Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CBRL / earnings

ARCO (57) WEN (58) SG (22) BJRI (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.1% Move

$72.45 +2.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.60

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.62B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.60 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBRL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CBRL SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.7% FCF Margin ($59.8M FCF) & 69% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67.6) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$57.46+20% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$68.97-1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$67.66+7.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$72.45+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBRL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, CBRL faces multiple-compression risk if 34.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 66.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($56.85) or 200D SMA ($42.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($74.73) toward Bear Floor ($58.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBRL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CBRL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 29, 2027 (~88 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.1% Swing Band

±$6.59 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CBRL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $2.08 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.4%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-08-01	$3.48B	$46.4M	$59.8M	69%
FY 2024	2024-08-02	$3.47B	$40.9M	$40.7M	68.7%
FY 2023	2023-07-28	$3.44B	$99.1M	$250.5M	69%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CBRL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CBRL
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CBRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +131.32%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $72.50H $73.67L $69.83C $72.45VOL 743.6K

RES: $72.51SUP: $40.27SMA50: $56.85SMA200: $42.72

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBRL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CBRL Butterfly Map → + Track CBRL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBRL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBRL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBRL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBRL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #283 of 1011 ⚔️ ARCO vs CBRL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CBRL vs. ARCO, WEN, SG, BJRI)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) ranks #283 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #445 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. CBRL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CBRL ACTIVE Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc	C	65/100	34.9x	69.0%	5.4%	+2.23%	$1.62B	Benchmark Subject
ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	6.9x	96.0%	18.9%	-0.29%	$1.45B	/arco-vs-cbrl →
WEN Wendy's Company	D+	58/100	8.3x	63.6%	10.7%	+1.34%	$1.37B	/wen-vs-cbrl →
SG Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)	E	22/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.51%	$1.36B	/sg-vs-cbrl →
BJRI BJ's Restaurants Inc.	C	65/100	27.6x	74.7%	10.7%	+4.58%	$1.35B	/bjri-vs-cbrl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-01 • CIK 0001067294

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.48B (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.47B , and +1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.4M, operating cash flow of $218.9M, and free cash flow of $59.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBRL closed FY2025 with $2.10B in total assets against $381.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-08-01	$3.48B	$46.4M	$218.9M	$59.8M	$2.10B	$381.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-08-02	$3.47B	$40.9M	$169.0M	$40.7M	$2.15B	$471.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-07-28	$3.44B	$99.1M	$250.5M	$250.5M	—	—

3. CBRL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (NASDAQ: CBRL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $72.45 (+2.23% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CBRL ranks #283 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBRL compare to ARCO and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CBRL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of 69.0%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 6.9x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $1.45B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRL?

Per CBRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01, CIK 0001067294), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc generated $3.48B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), $46.4M in net income, and $59.8M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $381.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBRL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBRL last traded at $72.45 (+2.23% on volume of 743,130 shares), positioning the stock +27.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($56.85) and +69.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($42.72). Across its 52-week range of $24.85 to $73.67, CBRL sits at the 97.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($65.86 to $79.04).

CBRL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CBRL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 29, 2027.

How much is CBRL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.1% event move for CBRL, spanning a range between $65.86 and $79.04.

Direct Sub-Reports: CBRL RQD Cockpit CBRL 12M Forecast CBRL Earnings & Move CBRL Dividends & DRIP CBRL Insiders & 13F CBRL Whale Options CBRL Profit Sankey CBRL News & Why