Why CBK Stock advanced +1.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$32.99 +1.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.00

Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $452.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (NASDAQ: CBK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $32.99 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $452.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBK ranks #223 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBK compare to RBB and BMRC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBK carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, RBB (RBB Bancorp) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $440.5M) and BMRC (Bank of Marin Bancorp) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $466.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBK leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while CBK leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBK?
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Per CBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001981546), Commercial Bancgroup Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $37.2M in net income, and $35.2M in free cash flow against $2.29B in total assets and $78.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.00 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$41 Bull$34 Base$27 Bear
📬 FREE CBK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CBK SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (19% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$31.07+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$31.29+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$32.00+3.1% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$32.99+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CBK faces multiple-compression risk if 12.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.56) or 200D SMA ($30.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.33) toward Bear Floor ($26.78).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CBK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CBK Stock advanced +1.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK) advanced +1.17% to $32.99, trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($23.24 – $35.78). Solid steady margins (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($23.24 – $35.78) with RSI-14 at 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.9% around $32.99 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $35.2M annual free cash flow.
Live CBK Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend

HARROGATE, TN / ACCESS Newswire / October 26, 2026 / ("Commercial") (NASDAQ:CBK), the parent company of Commercial Bank (the"Bank"), announced today that the board of directors of Commercial declared a quarterly cash div

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CBK Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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CBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.11%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $32.61H $32.99L $32.61C $32.99VOL 18.5K
RES: $38.44SUP: $30.10SMA50: $32.56SMA200: $30.10
$36.49$33.54$30.58$27.63$24.67RES $38.44SUP $30.10$32.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBK)

Financials Rank #223 of 1096 ⚔️ RBB vs CBK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBK vs. RBB, BMRC, CBAN, CHMG)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK) ranks #223 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #728 by equity capitalization ($452.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBK leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while CBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CBK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBK ACTIVE
Commercial Bancgroup Inc.
C+ 67/100 12.2x — 13.0% +1.17% $452.0M Benchmark Subject
RBB
RBB Bancorp
C 62/100 13.8x — 6.1% -0.23% $440.5M /rbb-vs-cbk →
BMRC
Bank of Marin Bancorp
C 65/100 17.6x — 6.7% -0.31% $466.4M /bmrc-vs-cbk →
CBAN
Colony Bankcorp Inc.
E 29/100 65.5x — 1.8% +0.30% $433.3M /cban-vs-cbk →
CHMG
Chemung Financial Corp
C+ 67/100 28.0x — 5.9% +2.10% $422.4M /chmg-vs-cbk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001981546

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $37.2M, operating cash flow of $37.1M, and free cash flow of $35.2M (-1.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBK closed FY2025 with $2.29B in total assets against $78.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $37.2M $37.1M $35.2M $2.29B $78.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $31.4M $38.7M $35.6M $2.30B $105.8M

3. CBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (NASDAQ: CBK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $32.99 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $452.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBK ranks #223 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBK compare to RBB and BMRC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBK carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, RBB (RBB Bancorp) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $440.5M) and BMRC (Bank of Marin Bancorp) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $466.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBK leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while CBK leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBK?

Per CBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001981546), Commercial Bancgroup Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $37.2M in net income, and $35.2M in free cash flow against $2.29B in total assets and $78.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBK last traded at $32.99 (+1.17% on volume of 18,497 shares), positioning the stock +1.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.56) and +9.60% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.10). Across its 52-week range of $23.24 to $35.78, CBK sits at the 77.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($31.37 to $34.61).

CBK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CBK stock moving today?

Why CBK Stock advanced +1.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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