Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.2% Move

$32.99 +1.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $452.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$41 Bull$35 Base$27 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.2% Swing Band

±$1.72 Expected Swing
$31.27 (-5.2%)Spot $32.99$34.71 (+5.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CBK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 69/100

Trailing EPS: $2.71 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (69/100)Model Risk Weight (31/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$37.2M$35.2M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$31.4M$35.6M52%
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CBK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CBK
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CBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.92%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $32.98H $33.50L $32.80C $32.99VOL 38.1K
RES: $38.39SUP: $30.13SMA50: $32.57SMA200: $30.07
$36.50$33.53$30.56$27.60$24.63RES $38.39SUP $30.13$32.992026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBK)

Financials Rank #191 of 1096 ⚔️ RBB vs CBK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBK vs. RBB, BMRC, CBAN, CHMG)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK) ranks #191 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #728 by equity capitalization ($452.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBK leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while CBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CBK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBK ACTIVE
Commercial Bancgroup Inc.
C+ 69/100 12.2x — 13.0% +1.17% $452.0M Benchmark Subject
RBB
RBB Bancorp
C- 59/100 13.8x — 6.1% -0.23% $440.5M /rbb-vs-cbk →
BMRC
Bank of Marin Bancorp
C+ 66/100 17.6x — 6.7% -0.31% $466.4M /bmrc-vs-cbk →
CBAN
Colony Bankcorp Inc.
D- 40/100 65.5x — 1.8% +0.30% $433.3M /cban-vs-cbk →
CHMG
Chemung Financial Corp
C+ 68/100 28.0x — 5.9% +2.10% $422.4M /chmg-vs-cbk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001981546

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $37.2M, operating cash flow of $37.1M, and free cash flow of $35.2M (-1.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBK closed FY2025 with $2.29B in total assets against $78.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $37.2M $37.1M $35.2M $2.29B $78.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $31.4M $38.7M $35.6M $2.30B $105.8M

3. CBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (NASDAQ: CBK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $32.99 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $452.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBK ranks #191 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBK compare to RBB and BMRC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBK carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, RBB (RBB Bancorp) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $440.5M) and BMRC (Bank of Marin Bancorp) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $466.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBK leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while CBK leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBK?

Per CBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001981546), Commercial Bancgroup Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $37.2M in net income, and $35.2M in free cash flow against $2.29B in total assets and $78.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBK last traded at $32.99 (+1.17% on volume of 18,497 shares), positioning the stock +1.29% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.57) and +9.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.07). Across its 52-week range of $23.24 to $35.78, CBK sits at the 77.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($31.27 to $34.71).

CBK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CBK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Commercial Bancgroup Inc. (CBK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CBK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.2% event move for CBK, spanning a range between $31.27 and $34.71.

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