MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why CAAS Stock dropped -2.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.32 -2.04% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.30
China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $130.3M
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Is CAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CAAS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.32 (-2.04% 1D, market cap $130.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAAS ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CAAS compare to CVGI and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CAAS carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $131.2M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $174.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAAS?
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Per CAAS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002037400), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share generated $765.7M in revenue (+17.6% YoY), $42.8M in net income, and $74.4M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.30 (-0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAAS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CAAS SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($74.4M FCF) & 19% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 1.32 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$4.48+0.7% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$4.51-4% Next Q
58
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$4.33-0.2% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade D+$4.32-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAAS Turnaround Squeeze
While CAAS currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.85) and Max Pain ($4.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.92.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAAS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CAAS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CAAS Stock dropped -2.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) dropped -2.04% to $4.32, trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($4 – $5.64). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($4 – $5.64) with RSI-14 at 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.6% around $4.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 19% gross margin and $74.4M annual free cash flow.
Live CAAS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAAS)
- ✓Walkthrough of CAAS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CAAS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.48%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.34H $4.36L $4.30C $4.32VOL 17.1K
RES: $5.97SUP: $4.27SMA50: $4.85SMA200: $4.54
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CAAS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAAS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAAS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAAS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAAS)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #589 of 1011
⚔️ CVGI vs CAAS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CAAS vs. CVGI, SRI, MPAA, STRT)
Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) ranks #589 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #738 by equity capitalization ($130.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while MPAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. STRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CAAS at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAAS
ACTIVE
China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share | D+ | 53/100 | — | 19.0% | 16.3% | -2.04% | $130.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 10.5% | -0.2% | -1.22% | $131.2M | /cvgi-vs-caas → |
| SRI Stoneridge Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 19.9% | -24.1% | +0.83% | $174.0M | /sri-vs-caas → |
| MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc. | C | 64/100 | 16.3x | 20.2% | 21.6% | -3.29% | $195.0M | /mpaa-vs-caas → |
| STRT STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION | C+ | 67/100 | 12.5x | 16.5% | 15.2% | +0.63% | $256.6M | /strt-vs-caas → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002037400In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) reported GAAP revenue of $765.7M (+17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $650.9M , and +32.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.8M, operating cash flow of $111.6M, and free cash flow of $74.4M (+319.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAAS closed FY2025 with $1.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.32, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $765.7M | $42.8M | $111.6M | $74.4M | $1.00B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $650.9M | $30.0M | $9.8M | -$33.9M | $850.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $576.4M | $37.7M | $19.9M | $19.9M | — | — |
3. CAAS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CAAS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.32 (-2.04% 1D, market cap $130.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAAS ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CAAS compare to CVGI and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CAAS carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $131.2M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $174.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAAS?
Per CAAS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002037400), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share generated $765.7M in revenue (+17.6% YoY), $42.8M in net income, and $74.4M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CAAS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CAAS last traded at $4.32 (-2.04% on volume of 14,833 shares), positioning the stock -10.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.85) and -4.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.54). Across its 52-week range of $4.00 to $5.64, CAAS sits at the 19.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($4.03 to $4.61).
CAAS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CAAS stock moving today?
Why CAAS Stock dropped -2.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.