MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why BRSP Stock dropped -3.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.53 -3.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.50
BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $440.1M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BRSP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BRSP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BRSP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $3.53 (-3.55% 1D, market cap $440.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BRSP ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BRSP compare to TCI and FVR in the Financials sector?
▼
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BRSP carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -3.3%. By comparison, TCI (Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 31.6x, ROIC -0.6%, cap $435.7M) and FVR (FrontView REIT Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.2%, cap $453.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while FBRT leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSP?
▼
Per BRSP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001717547), BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) generated $330.6M in revenue (-7.9% YoY), -$31.1M in net income, and $73.0M in free cash flow against $3.56B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.50 (-0.83%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 22.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRSP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BRSP SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$3.81-3.1% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$3.69-0.8% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$3.66-3.6% Next Q
46
CurrentGrade D-$3.53-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRSP Turnaround Squeeze
While BRSP currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.12) and Max Pain ($3.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.48.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRSP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BRSP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BRSP Stock dropped -3.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) dropped -3.55% to $3.53, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($3.42 – $6.17). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($3.42 – $6.17) with RSI-14 at 24.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.3% around $3.53 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $73.0M annual free cash flow.
Live BRSP Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 8h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRSP)
- ✓Walkthrough of BRSP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BRSP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.14%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $3.53H $3.54L $3.42C $3.53VOL 2.15M
RES: $3.85SUP: $3.33SMA50: $4.12SMA200: $5.24
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BRSP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRSP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRSP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRSP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRSP)
Financials Rank #952 of 1096
⚔️ TCI vs BRSP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BRSP vs. TCI, FVR, FBRT, ILPT)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) ranks #952 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #734 by equity capitalization ($440.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while FBRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. FBRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with BRSP at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRSP
ACTIVE
BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -3.3% | -3.55% | $440.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| TCI Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc. | D- | 38/100 | 31.6x | — | -0.6% | +3.00% | $435.7M | /tci-vs-brsp → |
| FVR FrontView REIT Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | -1.2% | +4.27% | $453.4M | /fvr-vs-brsp → |
| FBRT Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. | C | 63/100 | 5.5x | — | 5.8% | -2.84% | $466.1M | /fbrt-vs-brsp → |
| ILPT Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | -13.5% | -4.90% | $467.5M | /ilpt-vs-brsp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001717547In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) reported GAAP revenue of $330.6M (-7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $358.8M , and -20.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$31.1M, operating cash flow of $73.0M, and free cash flow of $73.0M (-29.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRSP closed FY2025 with $3.56B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $330.6M | -$31.1M | $73.0M | $73.0M | $3.56B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $358.8M | -$132.0M | $103.4M | $103.4M | $3.72B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $415.1M | -$15.5M | $137.6M | $137.6M | — | — |
3. BRSP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BRSP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BRSP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $3.53 (-3.55% 1D, market cap $440.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BRSP ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BRSP compare to TCI and FVR in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BRSP carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -3.3%. By comparison, TCI (Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 31.6x, ROIC -0.6%, cap $435.7M) and FVR (FrontView REIT Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.2%, cap $453.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while FBRT leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSP?
Per BRSP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001717547), BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) generated $330.6M in revenue (-7.9% YoY), -$31.1M in net income, and $73.0M in free cash flow against $3.56B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BRSP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BRSP last traded at $3.53 (-3.55% on volume of 2,887,680 shares), positioning the stock -14.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.12) and -32.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.24). Across its 52-week range of $3.42 to $6.17, BRSP sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($3.27 to $3.79).
BRSP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BRSP stock moving today?
Why BRSP Stock dropped -3.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.