Stock Ratings / Financials / BRSP / dividends

TCI (39) FVR (45) FBRT (50) ILPT (51) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.53 -3.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.50

BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $440.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BRSP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRSP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BRSP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $3.53 (-3.55% 1D, market cap $440.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BRSP ranks #981 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRSP compare to TCI and FVR in the Financials sector?

▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BRSP carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -3.3%. By comparison, TCI (Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 31.6x, ROIC -0.6%, cap $435.7M) and FVR (FrontView REIT Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.2%, cap $453.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while FBRT leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSP?

▼

Per BRSP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001717547), BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) generated $330.6M in revenue (-7.9% YoY), -$31.1M in net income, and $73.0M in free cash flow against $3.56B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.50 (-0.83%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 22.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRSP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRSP SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$3.79-5.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$3.59+2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.69-4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.53-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRSP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BRSP currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.10) and Max Pain ($3.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRSP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRSP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRSP)

✓Walkthrough of BRSP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BRSP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.35%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $3.66H $3.66L $3.53C $3.53VOL 2.89M

RES: $3.83SUP: $3.31SMA50: $4.10SMA200: $5.23

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRSP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRSP Butterfly Map → + Track BRSP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRSP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRSP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRSP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRSP)

Financials Rank #981 of 1096 ⚔️ TCI vs BRSP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BRSP vs. TCI, FVR, FBRT, ILPT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) ranks #981 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #734 by equity capitalization ($440.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while FBRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ILPT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with BRSP at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRSP ACTIVE BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	—	-3.3%	-3.55%	$440.1M	Benchmark Subject
TCI Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.	D-	39/100	31.6x	—	-0.6%	+3.00%	$435.7M	/tci-vs-brsp →
FVR FrontView REIT Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-1.2%	+4.27%	$453.4M	/fvr-vs-brsp →
FBRT Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.	D	50/100	5.5x	—	5.8%	-2.84%	$466.1M	/fbrt-vs-brsp →
ILPT Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of	D	51/100	—	—	-13.5%	-4.90%	$467.5M	/ilpt-vs-brsp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001717547

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) reported GAAP revenue of $330.6M (-7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $358.8M , and -20.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$31.1M, operating cash flow of $73.0M, and free cash flow of $73.0M (-29.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRSP closed FY2025 with $3.56B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$330.6M	-$31.1M	$73.0M	$73.0M	$3.56B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$358.8M	-$132.0M	$103.4M	$103.4M	$3.72B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$415.1M	-$15.5M	$137.6M	$137.6M	—	—

3. BRSP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRSP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BRSP compare to TCI and FVR in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSP?

Where is BRSP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRSP last traded at $3.53 (-3.55% on volume of 2,887,680 shares), positioning the stock -13.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.10) and -32.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.23). Across its 52-week range of $3.42 to $6.16, BRSP sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($3.27 to $3.79).

BRSP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does BRSP pay a dividend and is it safe?

BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) (BRSP) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: BRSP RQD Cockpit BRSP 12M Forecast BRSP Earnings & Move BRSP Dividends & DRIP BRSP Insiders & 13F BRSP Whale Options BRSP Profit Sankey BRSP News & Why