MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why BOW Stock slipped -0.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$34.13 -0.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.05
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.12B
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BOW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BOW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $34.13 (-0.23% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BOW ranks #431 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BOW compare to ASIC and HRTG in the Financials sector?
▼
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), BOW carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, ASIC (Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $1.17B) and HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTG leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while HRTG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOW?
▼
Per BOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002002473), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. generated $551.6M in revenue (+29.6% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $326.0M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.05 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 59.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BOW SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 93% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 59.1% FCF Margin ($326.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$34.03+0.5% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$34.19-0.4% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$34.04+0.3% Next Q
59
CurrentGrade C$34.13+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BOW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, BOW faces multiple-compression risk if 20.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($33.84) or 200D SMA ($28.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.74) toward Bear Floor ($27.10).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BOW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BOW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BOW Stock slipped -0.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) slipped -0.23% to $34.13, trading at 93% of its 52-week range ($21.21 – $35.07). Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 21x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 93% of its 52-week range ($21.21 – $35.07) with RSI-14 at 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $34.13 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $326.0M annual free cash flow.
Live BOW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 8h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BOW Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.52%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $34.64H $34.64L $34.03C $34.13VOL 123.5K
RES: $34.58SUP: $35.23SMA50: $33.84SMA200: $28.53
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +29.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BOW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BOW)
Financials Rank #431 of 1096
⚔️ ASIC vs BOW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BOW vs. ASIC, HRTG, IGIC, HIPO)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) ranks #431 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #529 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HRTG leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while HRTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. HRTG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with BOW at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOW
ACTIVE
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. | C | 62/100 | 20.9x | — | 12.0% | -0.23% | $1.12B | Benchmark Subject |
| ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings | C+ | 69/100 | 15.8x | — | 12.0% | +5.08% | $1.17B | /asic-vs-bow → |
| HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc. | B+ | 79/100 | 5.5x | — | 85.0% | +4.06% | $1.07B | /hrtg-vs-bow → |
| IGIC International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Share | D+ | 58/100 | 8.3x | — | 17.9% | +1.69% | $1.06B | /igic-vs-bow → |
| HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 15.7x | — | 14.4% | -1.46% | $980.6M | /hipo-vs-bow → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002002473In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) reported GAAP revenue of $551.6M (+29.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $425.7M , and +94.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $53.8M, operating cash flow of $331.6M, and free cash flow of $326.0M (+12.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BOW closed FY2025 with $2.37B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $551.6M | $53.8M | $331.6M | $326.0M | $2.37B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $425.7M | $38.2M | $294.3M | $291.2M | $1.65B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $283.4M | $25.0M | $236.2M | $236.2M | — | — |
3. BOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BOW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $34.13 (-0.23% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BOW ranks #431 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BOW compare to ASIC and HRTG in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), BOW carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, ASIC (Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $1.17B) and HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTG leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while HRTG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOW?
Per BOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002002473), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. generated $551.6M in revenue (+29.6% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $326.0M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BOW last traded at $34.13 (-0.23% on volume of 73,152 shares), positioning the stock +0.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($33.84) and +19.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.53). Across its 52-week range of $21.21 to $35.07, BOW sits at the 93.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($33.52 to $34.74).
BOW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BOW stock moving today?
Why BOW Stock slipped -0.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 21x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.