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Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$34.13 -0.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BOW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $34.13: 293.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $27.10

$7,940

$-2,060 (-20.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $34.74

$10,179

+$179 (+1.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $40.99

$12,010

+$2,010 (+20.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$36	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$39	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$31	58%	C

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BOW Tape Review)

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BOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.52%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $34.64H $34.64L $34.03C $34.13VOL 123.5K

RES: $34.58SUP: $35.23SMA50: $33.84SMA200: $28.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BOW Butterfly Map → + Track BOW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BOW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BOW)

Financials Rank #431 of 1096 ⚔️ ASIC vs BOW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BOW vs. ASIC, HRTG, IGIC, HIPO)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) ranks #431 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #529 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HRTG leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while HRTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. HRTG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with BOW at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BOW ACTIVE Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.	C	62/100	20.9x	—	12.0%	-0.23%	$1.12B	Benchmark Subject
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings	C+	69/100	15.8x	—	12.0%	+5.08%	$1.17B	/asic-vs-bow →
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.	B+	79/100	5.5x	—	85.0%	+4.06%	$1.07B	/hrtg-vs-bow →
IGIC International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Share	D+	58/100	8.3x	—	17.9%	+1.69%	$1.06B	/igic-vs-bow →
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	15.7x	—	14.4%	-1.46%	$980.6M	/hipo-vs-bow →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002002473

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) reported GAAP revenue of $551.6M (+29.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $425.7M , and +94.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $53.8M, operating cash flow of $331.6M, and free cash flow of $326.0M (+12.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BOW closed FY2025 with $2.37B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$551.6M	$53.8M	$331.6M	$326.0M	$2.37B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$425.7M	$38.2M	$294.3M	$291.2M	$1.65B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$283.4M	$25.0M	$236.2M	$236.2M	—	—

3. BOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BOW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $34.13 (-0.23% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BOW ranks #431 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BOW compare to ASIC and HRTG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), BOW carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, ASIC (Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $1.17B) and HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTG leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while HRTG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOW?

Per BOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002002473), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. generated $551.6M in revenue (+29.6% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $326.0M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BOW last traded at $34.13 (-0.23% on volume of 73,152 shares), positioning the stock +0.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($33.84) and +19.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.53). Across its 52-week range of $21.21 to $35.07, BOW sits at the 93.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($33.52 to $34.74).

BOW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BOW's 12-month stock price target?

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $34.74 (+1.8% from $34.13), with a bull-case target of $40.99 and a bear-case floor of $27.1.

Is BOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BOW C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 62/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: BOW RQD Cockpit BOW 12M Forecast BOW Earnings & Move BOW Dividends & DRIP BOW Insiders & 13F BOW Whale Options BOW Profit Sankey BOW News & Why