Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$56.35 -1.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 81/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (21% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $1.77B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-
025507510081
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk A-
Cash (19)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (18)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.3% Base Target
$88 Bull$62 Base$46 Bear
📬 FREE BLBD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BLBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $20,042

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $361/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.5K
Yr 2
$12.3K
Yr 3
$13.2K
Yr 4
$14.2K
Yr 5
$15.2K
Yr 6
$16.3K
Yr 7
$17.4K
Yr 8
$18.7K
Yr 9
$20.0K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in BLBD & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on BLBD and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BLBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.10%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $55.58H $56.36L $54.66C $56.35VOL 486.4K
RES: $86.10SUP: $52.79SMA50: $58.62SMA200: $63.18
$85.44$76.96$68.48$60.01$51.53RES $86.10SUP $52.79$56.352026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BLBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLBD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BLBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BLBD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #20 of 1011 ⚔️ HYLN vs BLBD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BLBD vs. HYLN, MLR, SCAG, GP)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) ranks #20 by composite RQD confidence (81/100, grade A-) and #433 by equity capitalization ($1.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLBD leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while BLBD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. BLBD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 81/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BLBD ACTIVE
Blue Bird Corporation
A- 81/100 13.8x 20.5% 85.0% -1.43% $1.77B Benchmark Subject
HYLN
Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)
D- 36/100 — 4.9% -30.6% +1.78% $612.6M /hyln-vs-blbd →
MLR
Miller Industries Inc.
D+ 58/100 25.7x 15.2% 5.5% +0.75% $591.8M /mlr-vs-blbd →
SCAG
Scage Future
D 50/100 — -6.4% — +2.32% $10.6M /scag-vs-blbd →
GP
GreenPower Motor Company Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -8.46% $2.5M /gp-vs-blbd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0001589526

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.35B , and +30.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $127.7M, operating cash flow of $176.2M, and free cash flow of $176.2M (+58.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLBD closed FY2025 with $642.3M in total assets against $84.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $1.48B $127.7M $176.2M $176.2M $642.3M $84.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $1.35B $105.5M $111.1M $111.1M $535.2M $88.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.13B $23.8M $119.9M $119.9M — —

3. BLBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BLBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Blue Bird Corporation (NASDAQ: BLBD) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $56.35 (-1.43% 1D, market cap $1.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BLBD ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BLBD compare to HYLN and MLR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), BLBD carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of 20.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HYLN (Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.6%, cap $612.6M) and MLR (Miller Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $591.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLBD?

Per BLBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0001589526), Blue Bird Corporation generated $1.48B in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $127.7M in net income, and $176.2M in free cash flow against $642.3M in total assets and $84.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BLBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLBD last traded at $56.35 (-1.43% on volume of 403,369 shares), positioning the stock -3.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($58.62) and -10.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($63.18). Across its 52-week range of $46.14 to $83.39, BLBD sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($52.63 to $60.07).

BLBD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does BLBD pay a dividend and is it safe?

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%