MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Sidus Space shares are trading lower after the company announced the pricing of its $58.5 million offering of 13,453,700 shares at $4.35 per share.Why BKSY Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$19.20 +0.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.18
BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $785.8M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.18 (-0.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BKSY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BKSY SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (41% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 17% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$20.92-17.2% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$17.32+1.5% Next Q
37
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$17.58+9.2% Next Q
35
CurrentGrade E$19.20-9.2% Hist 90D α
32
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BKSY Turnaround Squeeze
While BKSY currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.13) and Max Pain ($20.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.52.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BKSY• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BKSY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BKSY Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) advanced +0.47% to $19.20, trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($12.41 – $52.88). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($12.41 – $52.88) with RSI-14 at 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $19.20 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BKSY Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Reports Q3 Loss, Lags Revenue EstimatesReinvent Technology Partners Y (AUR) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.00% and -7.03%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
How Much Downside Is Left In Planet Labs Stock?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Why I Won’t Stop Buying Planet Labs and The only Thing That Will Stop MePlanet Labs just posted the strongest quarter in its history, yet the stock dropped 30% this year. Here is why that gap keeps widening my position and the exact two conditions that would make me walk away.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 9d ago
Planet Labs Drops 25.8% in a Month as Investors Weigh Execution RiskPlanet Labs shares plunge 25.8% in a month as heavy capital spending and premium valuation cloud its robust defense-led growth.
CATALYSTYahoo • 9d ago
Planet Labs' Berlin Expansion Could Reshape Its European Growth PathPlanet Labs' Berlin facility boosts satellite production capacity amid surging European sovereign demand, but rising capital spending and weaker cash flow pose risks.
CATALYSTYahoo • 9d ago
Should Investors Buy Planet Labs as Growth Meets Premium Valuation?Planet Labs' surging revenues and $815M backlog fuel its growth story, but premium valuation, heavy capital spending and weak returns call for investor caution
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 10d ago
Arxis IPO Opens For Trade AT $38/Share; IPO Priced At $28.00/Share On 40.5M SharesCATALYSTYahoo • 10d ago
Planet Labs vs. BlackSky: Which Space Stock Is the Better Pick?PL and BKSY are riding growing demand for satellite imagery and AI analytics, but one stands out with stronger financials and growth prospects.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
SpaceX Rallied, but These 6 Space Stocks Are Still Waiting for LiftoffSpaceX surged after a blowout quarter and a blockbuster merger hint, yet six space stocks that were supposed to ride its coattails are all sitting on double-digit losses. What went wrong, and which one is closest to turn
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BKSY)
- ✓Walkthrough of BKSY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BKSY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.89%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $18.25H $19.20L $17.03C $19.20VOL 924.2K
RES: $35.38SUP: $15.83SMA50: $21.13SMA200: $27.29
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BKSY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BKSY today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BKSY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BKSY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BKSY)
Technology Rank #652 of 714
⚔️ UMAC vs BKSY Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BKSY vs. UMAC, GILT, SATL, HLIT)
Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) ranks #652 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #375 by equity capitalization ($785.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILT leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while GILT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. GILT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with BKSY at 32/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKSY
ACTIVE
BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) | E | 32/100 | — | — | -15.1% | +0.47% | $785.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| UMAC Unusual Machines Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 34.9% | -27.7% | -1.93% | $863.2M | /umac-vs-bksy → |
| GILT Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. | C- | 59/100 | 29.3x | 29.5% | 5.6% | +1.77% | $607.5M | /gilt-vs-bksy → |
| SATL Satellogic Inc. (Class A) | E | 23/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.84% | $575.0M | /satl-vs-bksy → |
| HLIT Harmonic Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | 48.5% | 3.0% | +0.65% | $1.18B | /hlit-vs-bksy → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001753539In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) reported GAAP revenue of $106.6M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $102.1M , and +12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $70.3K, operating cash flow of -$28.3M, and free cash flow of -$28.3M (-343.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BKSY closed FY2025 with $386.2M in total assets against $193.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $106.6M | $70.3K | -$28.3M | -$28.3M | $386.2M | $193.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $102.1M | $57.2K | -$6.4M | -$6.4M | $254.1M | $105.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $94.5M | $53.9K | -$17.4M | -$17.4M | — | — |
3. BKSY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BKSY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BKSY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $19.20 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $785.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BKSY ranks #652 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BKSY compare to UMAC and GILT in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), BKSY carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.1%. By comparison, UMAC (Unusual Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.7%, cap $863.2M) and GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $607.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKSY?
Per BKSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001753539), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) generated $106.6M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $70.3K in net income, and -$28.3M in free cash flow against $386.2M in total assets and $193.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BKSY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BKSY last traded at $19.20 (+0.47% on volume of 1,008,235 shares), positioning the stock -9.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.13) and -29.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.29). Across its 52-week range of $12.41 to $52.88, BKSY sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($16.80 to $21.60).
BKSY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BKSY stock moving today?
Why BKSY Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.