Stock Ratings / Technology / BKSY / earnings

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BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$19.20 +0.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.18

BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $785.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.18 (-0.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BKSY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BKSY SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (41% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 17% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$20.92-17.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$17.32+1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$17.58+9.2% Next Q

Current

Grade E$19.20-9.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BKSY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BKSY currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.13) and Max Pain ($20.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.52.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BKSY• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BKSY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$2.40 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BKSY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 32/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.4%

Model Bullish Setup (32/100)Model Risk Weight (68/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$106.6M	$70.3K	-$28.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$102.1M	$57.2K	-$6.4M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$94.5M	$53.9K	-$17.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BKSY)

✓Walkthrough of BKSY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BKSY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.89%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $18.25H $19.20L $17.03C $19.20VOL 924.2K

RES: $35.38SUP: $15.83SMA50: $21.13SMA200: $27.29

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BKSY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BKSY Butterfly Map → + Track BKSY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BKSY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BKSY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BKSY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BKSY)

Technology Rank #652 of 714 ⚔️ UMAC vs BKSY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BKSY vs. UMAC, GILT, SATL, HLIT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) ranks #652 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #375 by equity capitalization ($785.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILT leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while GILT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. GILT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with BKSY at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BKSY ACTIVE BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)	E	32/100	—	—	-15.1%	+0.47%	$785.8M	Benchmark Subject
UMAC Unusual Machines Inc.	E	28/100	—	34.9%	-27.7%	-1.93%	$863.2M	/umac-vs-bksy →
GILT Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.	C-	59/100	29.3x	29.5%	5.6%	+1.77%	$607.5M	/gilt-vs-bksy →
SATL Satellogic Inc. (Class A)	E	23/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.84%	$575.0M	/satl-vs-bksy →
HLIT Harmonic Inc.	D+	56/100	—	48.5%	3.0%	+0.65%	$1.18B	/hlit-vs-bksy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001753539

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) reported GAAP revenue of $106.6M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $102.1M , and +12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $70.3K, operating cash flow of -$28.3M, and free cash flow of -$28.3M (-343.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BKSY closed FY2025 with $386.2M in total assets against $193.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$106.6M	$70.3K	-$28.3M	-$28.3M	$386.2M	$193.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$102.1M	$57.2K	-$6.4M	-$6.4M	$254.1M	$105.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$94.5M	$53.9K	-$17.4M	-$17.4M	—	—

3. BKSY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BKSY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BKSY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $19.20 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $785.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BKSY ranks #652 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BKSY compare to UMAC and GILT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), BKSY carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.1%. By comparison, UMAC (Unusual Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.7%, cap $863.2M) and GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $607.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKSY?

Per BKSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001753539), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) generated $106.6M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $70.3K in net income, and -$28.3M in free cash flow against $386.2M in total assets and $193.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BKSY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BKSY last traded at $19.20 (+0.47% on volume of 1,008,235 shares), positioning the stock -9.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.13) and -29.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.29). Across its 52-week range of $12.41 to $52.88, BKSY sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($16.80 to $21.60).

BKSY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BKSY's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BKSY stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for BKSY, spanning a range between $16.8 and $21.6.

Direct Sub-Reports: BKSY RQD Cockpit BKSY 12M Forecast BKSY Earnings & Move BKSY Dividends & DRIP BKSY Insiders & 13F BKSY Whale Options BKSY Profit Sankey BKSY News & Why