Stock Ratings / Technology / BKSY / financials

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BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$19.20 +0.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.18

BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $785.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.18 (-0.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BKSY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BKSY SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (41% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 17% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$20.92-17.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$17.32+1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$17.58+9.2% Next Q

Current

Grade E$19.20-9.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BKSY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BKSY currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.13) and Max Pain ($20.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.52.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BKSY• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BKSY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How BKSY Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $94.5M

FY24

Rev $102.1M

FY25

Rev $106.6M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$106.6M	52%	-44%	$70.3K	-$28.3M	-15.1%
FY 2024	$102.1M	52%	-43.4%	$57.2K	-$6.4M	-18.7%
FY 2023	$94.5M	52%	-59.2%	$53.9K	-$17.4M	-15.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BKSY)

✓Walkthrough of BKSY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BKSY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.89%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $18.25H $19.20L $17.03C $19.20VOL 924.2K

RES: $35.38SUP: $15.83SMA50: $21.13SMA200: $27.29

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BKSY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BKSY Butterfly Map → + Track BKSY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BKSY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BKSY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BKSY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BKSY)

Technology Rank #652 of 714 ⚔️ UMAC vs BKSY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BKSY vs. UMAC, GILT, SATL, HLIT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) ranks #652 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #375 by equity capitalization ($785.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILT leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while GILT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. GILT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with BKSY at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BKSY ACTIVE BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)	E	32/100	—	—	-15.1%	+0.47%	$785.8M	Benchmark Subject
UMAC Unusual Machines Inc.	E	28/100	—	34.9%	-27.7%	-1.93%	$863.2M	/umac-vs-bksy →
GILT Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.	C-	59/100	29.3x	29.5%	5.6%	+1.77%	$607.5M	/gilt-vs-bksy →
SATL Satellogic Inc. (Class A)	E	23/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.84%	$575.0M	/satl-vs-bksy →
HLIT Harmonic Inc.	D+	56/100	—	48.5%	3.0%	+0.65%	$1.18B	/hlit-vs-bksy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001753539

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) reported GAAP revenue of $106.6M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $102.1M , and +12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $70.3K, operating cash flow of -$28.3M, and free cash flow of -$28.3M (-343.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BKSY closed FY2025 with $386.2M in total assets against $193.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$106.6M	$70.3K	-$28.3M	-$28.3M	$386.2M	$193.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$102.1M	$57.2K	-$6.4M	-$6.4M	$254.1M	$105.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$94.5M	$53.9K	-$17.4M	-$17.4M	—	—

3. BKSY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BKSY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BKSY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $19.20 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $785.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BKSY ranks #652 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BKSY compare to UMAC and GILT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), BKSY carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.1%. By comparison, UMAC (Unusual Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.7%, cap $863.2M) and GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $607.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKSY?

Per BKSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001753539), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) generated $106.6M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $70.3K in net income, and -$28.3M in free cash flow against $386.2M in total assets and $193.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BKSY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BKSY last traded at $19.20 (+0.47% on volume of 1,008,235 shares), positioning the stock -9.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.13) and -29.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.29). Across its 52-week range of $12.41 to $52.88, BKSY sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($16.80 to $21.60).

BKSY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), BKSY converted $106.6M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: BKSY RQD Cockpit BKSY 12M Forecast BKSY Earnings & Move BKSY Dividends & DRIP BKSY Insiders & 13F BKSY Whale Options BKSY Profit Sankey BKSY News & Why