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Why BJRI Stock surged +4.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$63.28 +4.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.68
BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.35B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BJRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, BJ's Restaurants Inc. (NASDAQ: BJRI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $63.28 (+4.58% 1D, market cap $1.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJRI ranks #284 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BJRI compare to SG and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BJRI carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.6x, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.36B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJRI?
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Per BJRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0001013488), BJ's Restaurants Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $48.8M in net income, and $40.9M in free cash flow against $1.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.68 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BJRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BJRI SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.04 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$59.87-0.8% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$59.38-4.8% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$56.51+12% Next Q
62
CurrentGrade C$63.28+1.3% Hist 90D α
65
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BJRI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, BJRI faces multiple-compression risk if 27.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 72.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.79) or 200D SMA ($50.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.27) toward Bear Floor ($50.91).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BJRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BJRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BJRI Stock surged +4.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) surged +4.58% to $63.28, trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($32.39 – $74.6). Solid 75% profit margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 28x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($32.39 – $74.6) with RSI-14 at 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $63.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 74.7% gross margin and $40.9M annual free cash flow.
Live BJRI Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BJRI Tape Review)
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BJRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +64.79%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $63.21H $64.83L $62.33C $63.28VOL 396.1K
RES: $55.90SUP: $55.18SMA50: $60.79SMA200: $50.83
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BJRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BJRI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BJRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BJRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BJRI)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #284 of 1011
⚔️ SG vs BJRI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BJRI vs. SG, WEN, ARCO, CBRL)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) ranks #284 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #473 by equity capitalization ($1.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. BJRI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJRI
ACTIVE
BJ's Restaurants Inc. | C | 65/100 | 27.6x | 74.7% | 10.7% | +4.58% | $1.35B | Benchmark Subject |
| SG Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) | E | 22/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.51% | $1.36B | /sg-vs-bjri → |
| WEN Wendy's Company | D+ | 58/100 | 8.3x | 63.6% | 10.7% | +1.34% | $1.37B | /wen-vs-bjri → |
| ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | 6.9x | 96.0% | 18.9% | -0.29% | $1.45B | /arco-vs-bjri → |
| CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc | C | 65/100 | 34.9x | 69.0% | 5.4% | +2.23% | $1.62B | /cbrl-vs-bjri → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-30 • CIK 0001013488In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30), BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.40B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $48.8M, operating cash flow of $110.5M, and free cash flow of $40.9M (+66.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BJRI closed FY2025 with $1.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-30 | $1.40B | $48.8M | $110.5M | $40.9M | $1.02B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.36B | $16.7M | $101.5M | $24.6M | $1.04B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-01-02 | $1.33B | $19.7M | $105.8M | $105.8M | — | — |
3. BJRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BJRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, BJ's Restaurants Inc. (NASDAQ: BJRI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $63.28 (+4.58% 1D, market cap $1.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJRI ranks #284 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BJRI compare to SG and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BJRI carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.6x, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.36B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJRI?
Per BJRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0001013488), BJ's Restaurants Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $48.8M in net income, and $40.9M in free cash flow against $1.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BJRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BJRI last traded at $63.28 (+4.58% on volume of 478,011 shares), positioning the stock +4.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($60.79) and +24.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.83). Across its 52-week range of $32.39 to $74.60, BJRI sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($57.90 to $68.66).
BJRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BJRI stock moving today?
Why BJRI Stock surged +4.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 75% profit margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 28x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.