Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BJRI / dividends

SG (22) WEN (58) ARCO (57) CBRL (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$63.28 +4.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.68

BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.35B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.68 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BJRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BJRI SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.04 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$59.87-0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$59.38-4.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$56.51+12% Next Q

Current

Grade C$63.28+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BJRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, BJRI faces multiple-compression risk if 27.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 72.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.79) or 200D SMA ($50.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.27) toward Bear Floor ($50.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BJRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BJRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in BJRI & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on BJRI and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BJRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +64.79%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $63.21H $64.83L $62.33C $63.28VOL 396.1K

RES: $55.90SUP: $55.18SMA50: $60.79SMA200: $50.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BJRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BJRI Butterfly Map → + Track BJRI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

21.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BJRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BJRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BJRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BJRI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #284 of 1011 ⚔️ SG vs BJRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BJRI vs. SG, WEN, ARCO, CBRL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) ranks #284 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #473 by equity capitalization ($1.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. BJRI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BJRI ACTIVE BJ's Restaurants Inc.	C	65/100	27.6x	74.7%	10.7%	+4.58%	$1.35B	Benchmark Subject
SG Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)	E	22/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.51%	$1.36B	/sg-vs-bjri →
WEN Wendy's Company	D+	58/100	8.3x	63.6%	10.7%	+1.34%	$1.37B	/wen-vs-bjri →
ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	6.9x	96.0%	18.9%	-0.29%	$1.45B	/arco-vs-bjri →
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc	C	65/100	34.9x	69.0%	5.4%	+2.23%	$1.62B	/cbrl-vs-bjri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-30 • CIK 0001013488

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30), BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.40B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $48.8M, operating cash flow of $110.5M, and free cash flow of $40.9M (+66.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BJRI closed FY2025 with $1.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-30	$1.40B	$48.8M	$110.5M	$40.9M	$1.02B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.36B	$16.7M	$101.5M	$24.6M	$1.04B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-02	$1.33B	$19.7M	$105.8M	$105.8M	—	—

3. BJRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BJRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BJ's Restaurants Inc. (NASDAQ: BJRI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $63.28 (+4.58% 1D, market cap $1.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJRI ranks #284 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BJRI compare to SG and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BJRI carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.6x, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.36B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJRI?

Per BJRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0001013488), BJ's Restaurants Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $48.8M in net income, and $40.9M in free cash flow against $1.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BJRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BJRI last traded at $63.28 (+4.58% on volume of 478,011 shares), positioning the stock +4.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($60.79) and +24.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.83). Across its 52-week range of $32.39 to $74.60, BJRI sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($57.90 to $68.66).

BJRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does BJRI pay a dividend and is it safe?

BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: BJRI RQD Cockpit BJRI 12M Forecast BJRI Earnings & Move BJRI Dividends & DRIP BJRI Insiders & 13F BJRI Whale Options BJRI Profit Sankey BJRI News & Why