MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why BHRB Stock advanced +0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$71.08 +0.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $71.06
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.43B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $71.06 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BHRB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BHRB SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$68.88+1.2% Next Q
53
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$69.69+1.4% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$70.70+0.5% Next Q
58
CurrentGrade C-$71.08+0.5% Hist 90D α
61
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BHRB Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, BHRB faces multiple-compression risk if 12.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.34) or 200D SMA ($67.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($72.04) toward Bear Floor ($56.19).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BHRB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BHRB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BHRB Stock advanced +0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) advanced +0.88% to $71.08, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($58.31 – $75.09). Solid steady margins (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($58.31 – $75.09) with RSI-14 at 52.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.6% around $71.08 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $96.2M annual free cash flow.
Live BHRB Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BHRB Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BHRB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.53%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $71.65H $71.77L $70.20C $71.08VOL 112.3K
RES: $72.22SUP: $65.75SMA50: $70.34SMA200: $67.47
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BHRB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BHRB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BHRB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BHRB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BHRB)
Financials Rank #463 of 1096
⚔️ WABC vs BHRB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BHRB vs. WABC, TMP, PEBO, LKFN)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) ranks #463 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #500 by equity capitalization ($1.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMP leads on earnings valuation at 9.1x trailing P/E, while TMP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PEBO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with BHRB at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHRB
ACTIVE
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. | C- | 61/100 | 12.2x | — | 13.7% | +0.88% | $1.43B | Benchmark Subject |
| WABC Westamerica Bancorporation | C | 63/100 | 12.2x | — | 12.4% | +0.79% | $1.42B | /wabc-vs-bhrb → |
| TMP Tompkins Financial Corporation | C- | 61/100 | 9.1x | — | 17.2% | +0.53% | $1.46B | /tmp-vs-bhrb → |
| PEBO Peoples Bancorp Inc. | B | 72/100 | 13.1x | — | 10.5% | +1.09% | $1.39B | /pebo-vs-bhrb → |
| LKFN Lakeland Financial Corporation | C | 64/100 | 14.6x | — | 13.6% | +1.03% | $1.51B | /lkfn-vs-bhrb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001964333In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $117.3M, operating cash flow of $107.9M, and free cash flow of $96.2M (+18.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BHRB closed FY2025 with $7.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $117.3M | $107.9M | $96.2M | $7.92B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $35.7M | $85.8M | $81.2M | $7.81B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $22.7M | $42.5M | $42.5M | — | — |
3. BHRB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BHRB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (NASDAQ: BHRB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $71.08 (+0.88% 1D, market cap $1.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BHRB ranks #463 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BHRB compare to WABC and TMP in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BHRB carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, WABC (Westamerica Bancorporation) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $1.42B) and TMP (Tompkins Financial Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 9.1x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $1.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMP leads on earnings multiple (9.1x) while TMP leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BHRB?
Per BHRB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001964333), Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $117.3M in net income, and $96.2M in free cash flow against $7.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BHRB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BHRB last traded at $71.08 (+0.88% on volume of 168,444 shares), positioning the stock +1.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.34) and +5.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($67.47). Across its 52-week range of $58.31 to $75.09, BHRB sits at the 76.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($67.81 to $74.35).
BHRB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BHRB stock moving today?
Why BHRB Stock advanced +0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.