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Why BH Stock advanced +1.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$390.32 +1.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $390.61
Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $908.1M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (NYSE: BH) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $390.32 (+1.47% 1D, market cap $908.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BH ranks #286 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BH compare to BLMN and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BH carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.2%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, BLMN (Bloomin' Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 111.1x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $915.3M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $772.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BH?
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Per BH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726173), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) generated $395.3M in revenue (+9.2% YoY), -$37.5M in net income, and $76.6M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $213.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $390.59 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 19.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BH SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 62% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.4% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$363.81+19.3% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$434.04-8.7% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$396.19-1.5% Next Q
62
CurrentGrade C$390.32+1.3% Hist 90D α
65
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BH Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, BH faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 56.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($376.39) or 200D SMA ($357.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($402.62) toward Bear Floor ($314.04).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BH Stock advanced +1.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) advanced +1.47% to $390.32, trading at 62% of its 52-week range ($234.92 – $483.6). Solid 59% profit margin (-7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 62% of its 52-week range ($234.92 – $483.6) with RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.4% around $390.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 59.2% gross margin and $76.6M annual free cash flow.
Live BH Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 10h ago
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BH Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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BH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $392.3H $398.6L $389.4C $390.3VOL 76.6K
RES: $469.3SUP: $324.2SMA50: $376.4SMA200: $357.4
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BH)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #286 of 1011
⚔️ BLMN vs BH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BH vs. BLMN, FWRG, CNNE, HDL)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) ranks #286 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #525 by equity capitalization ($908.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FWRG leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while BLMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 70.2% gross margin. BH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BH
ACTIVE
Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) | C | 65/100 | — | 59.2% | -7.2% | +1.47% | $908.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| BLMN Bloomin' Brands Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 111.1x | 70.2% | 10.7% | +7.01% | $915.3M | /blmn-vs-bh → |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. | D | 45/100 | 39.7x | — | 3.6% | +8.31% | $772.0M | /fwrg-vs-bh → |
| CNNE Cannae Holdings Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 15.5% | -10.6% | +1.78% | $743.9M | /cnne-vs-bh → |
| HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $643.8M | /hdl-vs-bh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001726173In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) reported GAAP revenue of $395.3M (+9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $362.1M , and +8.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$37.5M, operating cash flow of $107.0M, and free cash flow of $76.6M (+301.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BH closed FY2025 with $1.03B in total assets against $213.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $395.3M | -$37.5M | $107.0M | $76.6M | $1.03B | $213.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $362.1M | -$3.8M | $49.7M | $19.1M | $866.1M | $10.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $365.3M | $54.9M | $73.0M | $73.0M | — | — |
3. BH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (NYSE: BH) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $390.32 (+1.47% 1D, market cap $908.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BH ranks #286 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BH compare to BLMN and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BH carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.2%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, BLMN (Bloomin' Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 111.1x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $915.3M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $772.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BH?
Per BH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726173), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) generated $395.3M in revenue (+9.2% YoY), -$37.5M in net income, and $76.6M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $213.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BH last traded at $390.32 (+1.47% on volume of 47,961 shares), positioning the stock +3.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($376.39) and +9.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($357.36). Across its 52-week range of $234.92 to $483.60, BH sits at the 62.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($357.53 to $423.11).
BH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BH stock moving today?
Why BH Stock advanced +1.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 59% profit margin (-7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.