Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ASC / options

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Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$21.30 +2.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.45

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $869.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.44 (+0.68%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 26.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASC SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$19.28-1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$18.93+5.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$20.03+6.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$21.30+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, ASC faces multiple-compression risk if 21.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.82) or 200D SMA ($16.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.55) toward Bear Floor ($17.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ASC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ASC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ASC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ASC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ASC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $21.11H $21.30L $20.70C $21.30VOL 460.8K

RES: $21.45SUP: $18.36SMA50: $18.82SMA200: $16.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASC Butterfly Map → + Track ASC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -23.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #161 of 1011 ⚔️ SB vs ASC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASC vs. SB, HSHP, GNK, CCEC)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) ranks #161 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #528 by equity capitalization ($869.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCEC leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while HSHP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.8% ROIC and 78.8% gross margin. ASC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASC ACTIVE Ardmore Shipping Corporation	B-	71/100	21.2x	—	6.5%	+2.45%	$869.1M	Benchmark Subject
SB Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)	B-	70/100	24.1x	—	4.6%	+0.74%	$927.7M	/sb-vs-asc →
HSHP Himalaya Shipping Ltd.	D+	58/100	44.4x	78.8%	6.8%	-0.47%	$785.4M	/hshp-vs-asc →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D+	58/100	—	—	0.6%	+4.02%	$1.16B	/gnk-vs-asc →
CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share	D	47/100	7.0x	—	4.9%	-3.28%	$1.19B	/ccec-vs-asc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001577437

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) reported GAAP revenue of $310.2M (-23.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $405.8M , and -21.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.0M, operating cash flow of $81.6M, and free cash flow of $81.6M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASC closed FY2025 with $788.7M in total assets against $127.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$310.2M	$41.0M	$81.6M	$81.6M	$788.7M	$127.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$405.8M	$133.0M	$160.4M	$160.4M	$704.8M	$38.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$396.0M	$116.8M	$159.6M	$159.6M	—	—

3. ASC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $21.30 (+2.45% 1D, market cap $869.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASC ranks #161 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ASC carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, SB (Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $927.7M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $785.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCEC leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while HSHP leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?

Per ASC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001577437), Ardmore Shipping Corporation generated $310.2M in revenue (-23.6% YoY), $41.0M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $788.7M in total assets and $127.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASC last traded at $21.30 (+2.45% on volume of 622,993 shares), positioning the stock +13.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.82) and +28.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.61). Across its 52-week range of $10.31 to $21.35, ASC sits at the 99.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($19.38 to $23.22).

ASC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ASC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ASC.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASC RQD Cockpit ASC 12M Forecast ASC Earnings & Move ASC Dividends & DRIP ASC Insiders & 13F ASC Whale Options ASC Profit Sankey ASC News & Why