Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ASC / financials

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Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$21.30 +2.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.45

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $869.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $21.30 (+2.45% 1D, market cap $869.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASC ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ASC carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, SB (Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $927.7M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $785.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCEC leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while HSHP leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?

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Per ASC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001577437), Ardmore Shipping Corporation generated $310.2M in revenue (-23.6% YoY), $41.0M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $788.7M in total assets and $127.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.44 (+0.68%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 26.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASC SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 65.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$19.82-6.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$18.50+11.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$20.70+2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B$21.30+7.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ASC faces multiple-compression risk if 21.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.87) or 200D SMA ($16.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.83) toward Bear Floor ($17.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ASC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$81.6M (26.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $396.0M

FY24

Rev $405.8M

FY25

Rev $310.2M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$310.2M	52%	0%	$41.0M	$81.6M	6.5%
FY 2024	$405.8M	52%	0%	$133.0M	$160.4M	6.5%
FY 2023	$396.0M	52%	0%	$116.8M	$159.6M	6.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASC)

✓Walkthrough of ASC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ASC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.82%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $20.79H $21.30L $20.79C $21.30VOL 623.0K

RES: $21.51SUP: $18.40SMA50: $18.87SMA200: $16.66

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASC Butterfly Map → + Track ASC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -23.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #85 of 1011 ⚔️ SB vs ASC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASC vs. SB, HSHP, GNK, CCEC)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) ranks #85 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #528 by equity capitalization ($869.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCEC leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while HSHP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.8% ROIC and 78.8% gross margin. ASC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASC ACTIVE Ardmore Shipping Corporation	B	74/100	21.2x	—	6.5%	+2.45%	$869.1M	Benchmark Subject
SB Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)	C+	66/100	24.1x	—	4.6%	+0.74%	$927.7M	/sb-vs-asc →
HSHP Himalaya Shipping Ltd.	D+	57/100	44.4x	78.8%	6.8%	-0.47%	$785.4M	/hshp-vs-asc →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D+	55/100	—	—	0.6%	+4.02%	$1.16B	/gnk-vs-asc →
CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share	D	44/100	7.0x	—	4.9%	-3.28%	$1.19B	/ccec-vs-asc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001577437

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) reported GAAP revenue of $310.2M (-23.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $405.8M , and -21.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.0M, operating cash flow of $81.6M, and free cash flow of $81.6M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASC closed FY2025 with $788.7M in total assets against $127.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$310.2M	$41.0M	$81.6M	$81.6M	$788.7M	$127.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$405.8M	$133.0M	$160.4M	$160.4M	$704.8M	$38.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$396.0M	$116.8M	$159.6M	$159.6M	—	—

3. ASC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?

Where is ASC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASC last traded at $21.30 (+2.45% on volume of 622,993 shares), positioning the stock +12.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.87) and +27.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.66). Across its 52-week range of $10.31 to $21.35, ASC sits at the 99.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($19.45 to $23.15).

ASC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ASC converted $310.2M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $81.6M in free cash flow (26.3% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASC RQD Cockpit ASC 12M Forecast ASC Earnings & Move ASC Dividends & DRIP ASC Insiders & 13F ASC Whale Options ASC Profit Sankey ASC News & Why