Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
While ARX currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.76) and Max Pain ($20.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.86.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) advanced +0.05% to $19.82, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($9.18 – $19.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Here is how Citigroup (C) and Accelerant Holdings (ARX) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +51.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) ranks #731 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #304 by equity capitalization ($4.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HGTY leads on earnings valuation at 37.5x trailing P/E, while HGTY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.4% ROIC and — gross margin. HGTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with ARX at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARX
ACTIVE
Accelerant Holdings (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | +0.05% | $4.30B | Benchmark Subject |
| BWIN The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | 3.6% | -0.38% | $4.44B | /bwin-vs-arx → |
| CRVL CorVel Corp. | C | 64/100 | 37.6x | — | 29.4% | +0.75% | $4.15B | /crvl-vs-arx → |
| NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 58/100 | 106.4x | — | 28.2% | -2.27% | $3.98B | /np-vs-arx → |
| HGTY Hagerty Inc. (Class A) | B- | 71/100 | 37.5x | — | 67.4% | +0.13% | $5.60B | /hgty-vs-arx → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) reported GAAP revenue of $912.9M (+51.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $602.6M , and +165.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $445.1M, and free cash flow of $445.1M (-43.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARX closed FY2025 with $8.26B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $912.9M | $0 | $445.1M | $445.1M | $8.26B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $602.6M | $0 | $785.7M | $785.7M | $6.09B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $344.0M | $0 | $290.0M | $290.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (NYSE: ARX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $19.82 (+0.05% 1D, market cap $4.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ARX ranks #731 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), ARX carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BWIN (The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.6%, cap $4.44B) and CRVL (CorVel Corp.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 29.4%, cap $4.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGTY leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while HGTY leads on capital efficiency (67.4% ROIC).
Per ARX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001997350), Accelerant Holdings (Class A) generated $912.9M in revenue (+51.5% YoY), $0 in net income, and $445.1M in free cash flow against $8.26B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ARX last traded at $19.82 (+0.05% on volume of 582,722 shares), positioning the stock +0.30% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.76) and +32.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.99). Across its 52-week range of $9.18 to $19.90, ARX sits at the 99.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($19.46 to $20.18).
Why ARX Stock advanced +0.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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