Ethos Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LIFE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$43.62 +1.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.68

Ethos Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LIFE) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.83B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.68 (+0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$52 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE LIFE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LIFE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LIFE SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9% FCF Margin ($34.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.1) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$36.96+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$37.52+14.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$43.10+1.2% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$43.62+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LIFE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, LIFE faces multiple-compression risk if 39.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.11) or 200D SMA ($23.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($44.21) toward Bear Floor ($34.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LIFE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LIFE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
65.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE96% OF RANGE
L: $9$43.62H: $45
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on LIFE

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

40.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 1.23% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (55)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LIFE
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LIFE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LIFE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +148.69%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $42.75H $44.33L $42.15C $43.62VOL 1.94M
RES: $47.10SUP: $24.16SMA50: $38.11SMA200: $23.03
$47.24$37.93$28.61$19.30$9.99RES $47.10SUP $24.16$43.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LIFE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIFE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIFE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LIFE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LIFE)

Financials Rank #455 of 1096 ⚔️ NP vs LIFE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LIFE vs. NP, CRVL, ARX, BWIN)

Industry: Specialty Insurers (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ethos Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LIFE) ranks #455 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #376 by equity capitalization ($2.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRVL leads on earnings valuation at 37.6x trailing P/E, while LIFE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CRVL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with LIFE at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LIFE ACTIVE
Ethos Technologies Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 39.8x — 40.6% +1.85% $2.83B Benchmark Subject
NP
Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 106.4x — 28.2% -2.27% $3.98B /np-vs-life →
CRVL
CorVel Corp.
C 64/100 37.6x — 29.4% +0.75% $4.15B /crvl-vs-life →
ARX
Accelerant Holdings (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — — — +0.05% $4.30B /arx-vs-life →
BWIN
The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc.
D 46/100 — — 3.6% -0.38% $4.44B /bwin-vs-life →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001788451

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ethos Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LIFE) reported GAAP revenue of $387.6M (+52.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $254.9M ) , GAAP net income of $71.2M, operating cash flow of $36.2M, and free cash flow of $34.7M (+397.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIFE closed FY2025 with $515.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $387.6M $71.2M $36.2M $34.7M $515.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $254.9M $48.8M -$10.9M -$11.7M $395.9M —

3. LIFE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LIFE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ethos Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LIFE) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $43.62 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $2.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LIFE ranks #455 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LIFE compare to NP and CRVL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), LIFE carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, NP (Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 106.4x, ROIC 28.2%, cap $3.98B) and CRVL (CorVel Corp.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 29.4%, cap $4.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRVL leads on earnings multiple (37.6x) while LIFE leads on capital efficiency (40.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIFE?

Per LIFE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001788451), Ethos Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $387.6M in revenue (+52.0% YoY), $71.2M in net income, and $34.7M in free cash flow against $515.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LIFE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LIFE last traded at $43.62 (+1.85% on volume of 798,380 shares), positioning the stock +14.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($38.11) and +89.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.03). Across its 52-week range of $9.45 to $44.99, LIFE sits at the 96.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($38.17 to $49.07).

LIFE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LIFE stock right now?

Ethos Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LIFE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (41% return on capital), mixed timing at 40x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is LIFE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LIFE's 12-month base price target is $44.21 (range $34.48 to $52.17), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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