CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 1d ago
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Why ARR Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$12.79 +0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.90B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ARR Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) advanced +0.95% to $12.79, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($12.28 – $19.31). Solid steady margins (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 6x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($12.28 – $19.31) with RSI-14 at 31 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.8% around $12.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $124.2M annual free cash flow.
Live ARR Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 2d ago
Icahn Enterprises and 5 Other High-Yield Stocks With Dividend Safety ConcernsA 38% yield sounds like a jackpot until you see what is actually funding it. Six popular income stocks are flashing warning signs that most dividend investors overlook until a cut hits their account.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
ARMOUR Residential: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term InvestorsManagement is betting reinvested cash can deliver 15%-18% levered returns from discounted mortgage bonds.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Armour Residential REIT: A Discounted Recovery Play Earns A Cautious BuyMARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 6d ago
Armour Residential REIT: Sidelined Again As A High-Yield Idea With MBS VolatilityCATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 7d ago
REITs Rebound As Earnings DeliverMarkets waver as AI and oil reshape Fed bets, while REIT earnings stay strong.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 8d ago
How Investors Are Reacting To ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) Big Loss Steady DividendARMOUR Residential REIT reported a third quarter 2026 net loss of US$323.75 million and a nine month loss of US$263.78 million, alongside unchanged monthly common dividends, including a declared November payout of US$0.2
MARKET WIREYahoo • 8d ago
Is ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) Overvalued After Its Q3 Loss And Dividend Reaffirmation?ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) has been in focus after reporting a Q3 2026 net loss of US$323.75 million. Management also commented on widening mortgage spreads, rising Treasury yields, and a reaffirmed monthly dividend.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 8d ago
ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) Reported A $323.75 Million Q3 Net LossARMOUR Residential REIT (NYSE:ARR) reported a substantial Q3 2026 net loss as market volatility hit its mortgage securities portfolio. The mortgage REIT kept its monthly dividend unchanged for the quarter, signaling a co
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
B. Riley Securities Maintains Neutral on ARMOUR Residential REIT, Lowers Price Target to $14.5B. Riley Securities analyst Timothy D'Agostino maintains ARMOUR Residential REIT (NYSE:ARR) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $18 to $14.5.
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ARR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.08%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.73H $12.85L $12.38C $12.79VOL 5.29M
RES: $18.33SUP: $11.82SMA50: $14.43SMA200: $16.50
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ARR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARR)
Financials Rank #387 of 1096
⚔️ DHC vs ARR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ARR vs. DHC, RLJ, FRMI, BXMT)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) ranks #387 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #433 by equity capitalization ($1.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while ARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BXMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ARR at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARR
ACTIVE
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. | C | 63/100 | 5.9x | — | 14.3% | +0.95% | $1.90B | Benchmark Subject |
| DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust of | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -17.2% | +2.18% | $1.93B | /dhc-vs-arr → |
| RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value | D+ | 53/100 | 67.9x | — | 1.3% | +1.68% | $1.94B | /rlj-vs-arr → |
| FRMI Fermi Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -20.4% | -5.30% | $1.83B | /frmi-vs-arr → |
| BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. | C | 64/100 | 16.7x | — | 3.1% | +2.94% | $1.83B | /bxmt-vs-arr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001428205In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $322.7M, operating cash flow of $124.2M, and free cash flow of $124.2M (-52.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARR closed FY2025 with $21.01B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $322.7M | $124.2M | $124.2M | $21.01B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$14.4M | $261.5M | $261.5M | $13.55B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$67.9M | $132.8M | $132.8M | — | — |
3. ARR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ARR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (NYSE: ARR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $12.79 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $1.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ARR ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ARR compare to DHC and RLJ in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ARR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.3%. By comparison, DHC (Diversified Healthcare Trust of) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.2%, cap $1.93B) and RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 67.9x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $1.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARR?
Per ARR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001428205), ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $322.7M in net income, and $124.2M in free cash flow against $21.01B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ARR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ARR last traded at $12.79 (+0.95% on volume of 3,436,253 shares), positioning the stock -11.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.43) and -22.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.50). Across its 52-week range of $12.28 to $19.31, ARR sits at the 7.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($11.92 to $13.66).
ARR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ARR stock moving today?
Why ARR Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 6x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.